Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x139f214609cd16e37baa53e56516388b291818d39630d5019aa5d7a3fc2fca9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruudof Cilic, Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cilic | 25c | 20,734$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,191.38 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Ruud | 72c | 20,000$14,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,644.56 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Cilic | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cilic | 16c | 20,000$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.65 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cilic | 19c | 17,551$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Ruud | 71c | 16,577$11,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.61 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Ruud | 69c | 14,336$9,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.13 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Ruud | 72c | 14,063$10,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.32 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cilic | 28c | 12,065$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.49 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Cilic | 25c | 9,329$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.8 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cilic | 17c | 8,938$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.28 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cilic | 19c | 8,039$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Ruud | 70c | 7,481$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.89 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cilic | 12c | 7,355$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Cilic | 29c | 5,644$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Ruud | 72c | 5,556$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.56 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Cilic | 35c | 5,106$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.33 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cilic | 29c | 5,015$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.73 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Ruud | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Cilic | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Ruud | 73c | 4,653$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.39 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ruud | 71c | 4,300$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Cilic | 28c | 4,219$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.22 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Ruud | 72c | 4,052$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.56 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cilic | 5c | 3,970$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Ruud | 70c | 3,829$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.57 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Ruud | 79c | 3,751$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.44 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cilic | 18c | 3,748$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.37 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cilic | 31c | 3,601$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.11 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Cilic | 28c | 3,283$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.1 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Cilic | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Ruud | 74c | 2,706$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.45 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Ruud | 74c | 2,706$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.08 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Ruud | 69c | 2,275$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.54 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cilic | 18c | 2,275$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.17 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Ruud | 70c | 2,218$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.19 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Ruud | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Cilic | 22c | 1,909$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.44 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Ruud | 72c | 1,862$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.36 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cilic | 28c | 1,676$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.56 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Cilic | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Ruud | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Cilic | 20c | 1,376$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.15 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cilic | 19c | 1,312$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Cilic | 22c | 1,284$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.27 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cilic | 17c | 1,200$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Cilic | 21c | 1,173$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.73 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Cilic | 29c | 1,126$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.52 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Ruud | 74c | 1,080$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…914ebacked Cilic | 17c | 1,045$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Ruud | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Cilic | 13c | 977.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Ruud | 70c | 957.14$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cilic | 27c | 946.21$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Cilic | 19c | 924.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Cilic | 29c | 911.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.47 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Cilic | 22c | 800$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Cilic | 29c | 795.6$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…bf7fbacked Cilic | 26c | 792.78$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Ruud | 72c | 768.06$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Cilic | 13c | 759.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Cilic | 14c | 715$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Cilic | 28c | 711.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Cilic | 16c | 699.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cilic | 14c | 681$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Cilic | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Cilic | 18c | 658.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c0…8ea1backed Cilic | 16c | 635.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Cilic | 8c | 591$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Ruud | 72c | 574.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Ruud | 73c | 500.12$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…5394backed Ruud | 73c | 494.39$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Cilic | 29c | 479.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Ruud | 79c | 444$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cilic | 14c | 429.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Ruud | 72c | 425.32$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Cilic | 7c | 419.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Ruud | 77c | 414.29$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Ruud | 74c | 407.7$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cilic | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Cilic | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Ruud | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Ruud | 70c | 383.3$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cilic | 28c | 376.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Cilic | 21c | 361.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Ruud | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Cilic | 14c | 351.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Cilic | 29c | 350.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Cilic | 22c | 341.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Cilic | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Cilic | 15c | 323.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…21b7backed Ruud | 69c | 308.14$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cilic | 21c | 305.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Ruud | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…cc0abacked Cilic | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…fde0backed Cilic | 28c | 299.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Ruud | 64c | 299.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Cilic | 14c | 295.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Cilic | 17c | 287.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Cilic | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudthis page
- Cilic vs. Ruud: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Cilic vs. Ruud: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Cilic vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Cilic vs. Ruud: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Cilic (+2.5)Cilic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.