Tennis · resolved market
Campinas: Gustavo Heide vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1882d6c9c23a55f6c25b302e33b2f6b7054121b24523668d45d13792d067c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gustavo Heideof Gustavo Heide, Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Gustavo Heide | 74c | 3,238$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.44 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 10c | 2,824$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 7c | 1,350$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 25c | 1,200$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.04 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 27c | 1,037$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 26c | 898$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 18c | 556.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 24c | 530.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 26c | 525$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6481backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 11c | 499.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 132 | 22%29 W · 103 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c0…8ea1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 14c | 476.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 8c | 368.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 24c | 357.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Gustavo Heide | 75c | 304.29$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 13c | 294.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…7eedbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 7c | 248.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 20c | 216.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 24c | 186.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 16c | 166.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 12c | 157.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 24c | 154.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 26c | 147.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gustavo Heide | 77c | 142.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Gustavo Heide | 76c | 130.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Gustavo Heide | 77c | 125.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Gustavo Heide | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 28c | 124.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 10c | 119.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Gustavo Heide | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 23c | 91.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gustavo Heide | 76c | 76.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Gustavo Heide | 76c | 64.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 23c | 62.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…54f4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 28c | 56.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gustavo Heide | 75c | 51.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Gustavo Heide | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…ccf1backed Gustavo Heide | 76c | 34.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Gustavo Heide | 76c | 28.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gustavo Heide | 74c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Gustavo Heide | 75c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…039fbacked Gustavo Heide | 76c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Gustavo Heide | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 134 | 66.4%89 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gustavo Heide | 75c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.