Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcaraz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c572e3f257497e743b18847b43e71900356c33754e885665a28737fc431987c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Musetti, Alcaraz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,798,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,035,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,798,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Musetti | 29c | 423,038$123,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,078.66 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Musetti | 14c | 221,499$31,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,611.3 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Alcaraz | 73c | 182,102$132,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,858.75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Musetti | 14c | 100,254$14,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,310.56 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Musetti | 13c | 87,263$11,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,444.42 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Alcaraz | 73c | 46,669$34,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,393.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Musetti | 19c | 26,444$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Musetti | 13c | 25,815$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.36 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Alcaraz | 77c | 23,836$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alcaraz | 77c | 14,985$11,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.08 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Musetti | 23c | 13,399$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.23 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Musetti | 13c | 12,453$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.93 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Musetti | 13c | 11,615$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.92 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Alcaraz | 75c | 10,469$7,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.2 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Musetti | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Musetti | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Musetti | 25c | 9,429$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.52 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Musetti | 26c | 8,170$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.58 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…5172backed Musetti | 33c | 6,209$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.81 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Musetti | 9c | 5,492$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Musetti | 14c | 5,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.98 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Alcaraz | 72c | 4,980$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Musetti | 13c | 4,736$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.68 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Alcaraz | 78c | 4,432$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.07 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Musetti | 40c | 4,389$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.72 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Musetti | 14c | 4,237$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.84 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Musetti | 13c | 4,232$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.16 | 649 | 55.2%358 W · 291 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Musetti | 12c | 4,000$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.8 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Musetti | 14c | 3,788$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.28 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Alcaraz | 80c | 3,315$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.6 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Alcaraz | 61c | 3,266$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.73 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Musetti | 13c | 2,861$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Musetti | 39c | 2,793$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.98 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -10.7wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Alcaraz | 70c | 2,782$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.55 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Musetti | 13c | 2,758$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.53 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…d896backed Alcaraz | 71c | 2,553$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…3d6fbacked Alcaraz | 77c | 2,340$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Alcaraz | 63c | 1,962$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.16 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Musetti | 19c | 1,868$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Alcaraz | 73c | 1,835$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.18 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Musetti | 14c | 1,815$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.35 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Alcaraz | 79c | 1,742$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.47 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…657ebacked Musetti | 25c | 1,641$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Alcaraz | 68c | 1,600$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Alcaraz | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Musetti | 25c | 1,506$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.7 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Alcaraz | 70c | 1,500$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Alcaraz | 64c | 1,500$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Alcaraz | 79c | 1,489$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Musetti | 13c | 1,443$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Alcaraz | 77c | 1,392$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.6 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…91f9backed Musetti | 13c | 1,332$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alcaraz | 69c | 1,306$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.45 | 1,448 | 48.8%707 W · 741 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…ea51backed Alcaraz | 77c | 1,293$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Musetti | 8c | 1,260$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Musetti | 12c | 1,223$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Musetti | 14c | 1,151$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Musetti | 14c | 1,047$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Alcaraz | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Musetti | 14c | 914.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Musetti | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…d478backed Alcaraz | 75c | 806.57$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Musetti | 13c | 775$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Alcaraz | 77c | 770.13$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Musetti | 21c | 720$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 673 | 31.5%212 W · 461 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…cdcbbacked Musetti | 33c | 703.1$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Musetti | 40c | 655$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alcaraz | 75c | 631.14$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.33 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Musetti | 34c | 594.02$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Musetti | 14c | 577.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Musetti | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Alcaraz | 62c | 453.85$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 406 | 44.1%179 W · 227 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Alcaraz | 60c | 453.53$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.41 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Musetti | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Musetti | 14c | 390.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Alcaraz | 66c | 378.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc1…9be6backed Musetti | 14c | 362.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Alcaraz | 73c | 345.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed Musetti | 36c | 341.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c0…8ea1backed Musetti | 14c | 336.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…465abacked Musetti | 14c | 329.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…57bfbacked Alcaraz | 74c | 319.11$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Musetti | 13c | 314.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…2865backed Musetti | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Musetti | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Alcaraz | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e85…1ccdbacked Musetti | 21c | 273.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Alcaraz | 72c | 265$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Musetti | 19c | 261.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…ff11backed Musetti | 39c | 257.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Musetti | 14c | 253$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…91f8backed Musetti | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Musetti | 15c | 246.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Musetti | 13c | 237.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…12fcbacked Alcaraz | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Musetti | 14c | 222$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked Alcaraz | 63c | 215.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…3932backed Alcaraz | 64c | 209.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Alcaraz | 80c | 200.3$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.