Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Learner Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3106eb1e6ac7acf636349bedf4ecc2715ebb447596962931b224b8ceba4dd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Sachko, Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed Sachko | 19c | 32,000$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Sachko | 19c | 10,003$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.59 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Sachko | 5c | 8,764$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.53 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233d…0d05backed Sachko | 20c | 8,044$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sachko | 1c | 7,016$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Sachko | 19c | 5,300$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tien | 80c | 4,854$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.49 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Sachko | 7c | 4,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Tien | 80c | 3,922$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.35 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…1a99backed Sachko | 17c | 3,627$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Sachko | 1c | 2,633$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Sachko | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Sachko | 17c | 1,852$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sachko | 15c | 1,622$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.27 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…0040backed Sachko | 18c | 1,356$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sachko | 3c | 1,331$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…da3ebacked Tien | 79c | 1,295$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.01 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Sachko | 9c | 1,056$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sachko | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sachko | 5c | 1,046$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Sachko | 8c | 1,007$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Sachko | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Sachko | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…e331backed Sachko | 16c | 936$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…5065backed Sachko | 18c | 896$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c0…8ea1backed Sachko | 19c | 895$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…30ccbacked Sachko | 18c | 869$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b3…ed48backed Sachko | 16c | 836$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…74cdbacked Sachko | 18c | 835$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sachko | 5c | 826.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Sachko | 6c | 764.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sachko | 17c | 756.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…9747backed Tien | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…b9d3backed Sachko | 18c | 624.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sachko | 4c | 549.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Sachko | 19c | 499.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Tien | 76c | 494.35$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Sachko | 25c | 478.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Sachko | 15c | 399.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Sachko | 18c | 320.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Sachko | 17c | 292$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Sachko | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Sachko | 15c | 272.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…3141backed Sachko | 18c | 271.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sachko | 21c | 252$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Tien | 79c | 240.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Sachko | 12c | 216.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sachko | 20c | 204.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Sachko | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Tien | 78c | 171.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Tien | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…4425backed Sachko | 12c | 125.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sachko | 17c | 117.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Sachko | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…6a3bbacked Sachko | 13c | 111.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Sachko | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f018backed Sachko | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…8175backed Sachko | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sachko | 21c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b0…7c2fbacked Sachko | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Sachko | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Sachko | 18c | 99.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Sachko | 12c | 87.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tien | 80c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Sachko | 17c | 72.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Tien | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Sachko | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Tien | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Tien | 77c | 30.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tien | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Tien | 76c | 16.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Tien | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.