Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078ca5dc52fe62824caf8f74e4a5de33b8434f605c7a06681e9a4acc4ec50522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokinaof Michelsen, Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Michelsen | 17c | 54,766$9,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,109.85 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…4140backed Michelsen | 47c | 38,398$18,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,047.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…9641backed Fokina | 53c | 21,641$11,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,171.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Michelsen | 47c | 17,240$8,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,028.33 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…ac96backed Fokina | 53c | 16,758$8,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,801.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fokina | 53c | 15,231$8,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,118.42 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fokina | 75c | 14,212$10,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.83 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Michelsen | 29c | 12,215$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.06 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Michelsen | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.97 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fokina | 65c | 7,158$4,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.28 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Fokina | 54c | 6,800$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Michelsen | 48c | 6,549$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.49 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Fokina | 54c | 6,414$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.81 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Fokina | 55c | 6,220$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.89 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Fokina | 54c | 5,150$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.49 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fokina | 53c | 4,772$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.99 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Fokina | 53c | 4,547$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.17 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Michelsen | 46c | 4,033$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.12 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michelsen | 13c | 3,633$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.56 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Michelsen | 55c | 3,621$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.47 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Fokina | 61c | 3,230$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.66 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Michelsen | 45c | 3,142$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.91 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Michelsen | 32c | 2,984$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.91 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michelsen | 38c | 2,628$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.64 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Fokina | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Fokina | 53c | 1,890$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.86 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michelsen | 27c | 1,854$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.82 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Michelsen | 32c | 1,565$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Fokina | 76c | 1,545$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.66 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Michelsen | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Michelsen | 47c | 1,448$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.73 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Michelsen | 45c | 1,431$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.91 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Michelsen | 45c | 1,287$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.24 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…0292backed Michelsen | 1c | 1,178$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Fokina | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.17 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Fokina | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Michelsen | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Fokina | 54c | 940.74$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.74 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Michelsen | 45c | 934.8$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Michelsen | 1c | 899$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Michelsen | 46c | 826.09$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Michelsen | 31c | 819.97$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.19 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Fokina | 72c | 778$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Michelsen | 21c | 710.62$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fokina | 54c | 657.15$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.29 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Michelsen | 43c | 555.8$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Fokina | 55c | 545.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.68 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…12d9backed Michelsen | 46c | 499.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c0…8ea1backed Michelsen | 10c | 489.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fokina | 71c | 478$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.58 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Michelsen | 23c | 448.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…1a66backed Fokina | 56c | 443.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.08 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Michelsen | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Fokina | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Fokina | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Michelsen | 44c | 398$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Michelsen | 47c | 360.45$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Fokina | 68c | 357.13$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Fokina | 67c | 353.73$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Fokina | 50c | 311.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Fokina | 54c | 308$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Michelsen | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fokina | 54c | 283.85$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Michelsen | 45c | 270.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Michelsen | 22c | 264.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Fokina | 54c | 262.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fokina | 53c | 250.19$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Fokina | 58c | 250$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Michelsen | 41c | 245.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Michelsen | 46c | 238.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Fokina | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Michelsen | 6c | 226.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…bb33backed Fokina | 56c | 215.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Michelsen | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michelsen | 41c | 211.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Fokina | 55c | 210.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fokina | 59c | 203.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc2…711fbacked Michelsen | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Fokina | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Michelsen | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Fokina | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Fokina | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Michelsen | 27c | 187.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Michelsen | 46c | 163.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fokina | 56c | 156.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Michelsen | 44c | 156.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Michelsen | 32c | 138.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Michelsen | 34c | 135.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Fokina | 54c | 121.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Fokina | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Michelsen | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Michelsen | 46c | 109.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Fokina | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Michelsen | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Fokina | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Michelsen | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Fokina | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…10eabacked Fokina | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Fokina | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Fokina | 76c | 95.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinathis page
- Michelsen vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Michelsen vs. Fokina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Michelsen vs. Fokina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs FokinaFokina won
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Fokina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.