Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e21bd9b2ab0b00311a801ad22e5056adeeaa40f95aae1df170f22ff6b16e4b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Austria Wienof FK Austria Wien, MH Beitar Jerusalem
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 27c | 1,189$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 43c | 1,173$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.32 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 46c | 1,044$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FK Austria Wien | 69c | 1,034$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 49c | 901.97$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.52 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed FK Austria Wien | 52c | 722.68$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.63 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FK Austria Wien | 73c | 720.81$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed FK Austria Wien | 72c | 671.09$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.09 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…5de2backed FK Austria Wien | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked FK Austria Wien | 43c | 485.3$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.18 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 26c | 471.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 28c | 469.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.16 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK Austria Wien | 71c | 464.33$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Austria Wien | 71c | 439.52$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…565fbacked FK Austria Wien | 72c | 413.78$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 31c | 397.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 51c | 349.8$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…fdd8backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed FK Austria Wien | 49c | 309.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed FK Austria Wien | 38c | 302.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.11 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked FK Austria Wien | 70c | 277$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FK Austria Wien | 68c | 263.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x590d…572dbacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 35c | 194.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 28c | 171.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 37c | 171.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…f3a9backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 42c | 164.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked FK Austria Wien | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed FK Austria Wien | 70c | 133.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…46d8backed FK Austria Wien | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed FK Austria Wien | 72c | 124$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked FK Austria Wien | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…5586backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 47c | 85.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FK Austria Wien | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 36c | 59.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed FK Austria Wien | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 53c | 56.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…f0a3backed FK Austria Wien | 71c | 56.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 65c | 46.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed FK Austria Wien | 69c | 41.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked FK Austria Wien | 52c | 40.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 33c | 33.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…9b3ebacked FK Austria Wien | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked FK Austria Wien | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed FK Austria Wien | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…9ac2backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 53c | 19.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FK Austria Wien | 73c | 14.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Team to Advancethis page
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: FK Austria Wien O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: MH Beitar Jerusalem O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Austria Wien (-1.5)MH Beitar Jerusalem won
- Spread: MH Beitar Jerusalem (-1.5)FK Austria Wien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.