Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: MH Beitar Jerusalem (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90a2f84eaf2d9eb8495288cce2d5f15505299e1b7e224a2b84e8d86b8bbf860b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Austria Wienof MH Beitar Jerusalem, FK Austria Wien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x425b…18f1backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 19c | 3,766$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.73 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 21c | 1,944$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed FK Austria Wien | 66c | 1,805$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.94 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 32c | 1,541$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.31 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked FK Austria Wien | 66c | 1,270$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 32c | 540.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…fdd8backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Austria Wien | 76c | 395.62$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 15c | 337.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked FK Austria Wien | 76c | 213.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 22c | 163.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MH Beitar Jerusalem | 67c | 150.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed FK Austria Wien | 73c | 132.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FK Austria Wien | 50c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FK Austria Wien | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 25c | 79.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked FK Austria Wien | 47c | 71.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed FK Austria Wien | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…0d49backed MH Beitar Jerusalem | 25c | 47.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed FK Austria Wien | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FK Austria Wien | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FK Austria Wien | 80c | 32.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked FK Austria Wien | 80c | 30.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed FK Austria Wien | 80c | 30.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked FK Austria Wien | 64c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: MH Beitar Jerusalem (-1.5)this page
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: FK Austria Wien O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: MH Beitar Jerusalem O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Team to AdvanceFK Austria Wien won
- Spread: FK Austria Wien (-1.5)MH Beitar Jerusalem won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.