MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x827308ef05c19e1481d942bde2ae484e56729a34dcd36376e39c3f351faf2b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Arizona Diamondbacks, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 93,909$69,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,793.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 87,206$30,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,566.15 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 33,797$12,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,018.09 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 18,327$9,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,796.84 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 14,836$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.67 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 12,369$7,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.74 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 10,006$5,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.87 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 8,346$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 8,000$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 7,253$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 6,938$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.24 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 6,492$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.98 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 6,210$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 78c | 6,018$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.28 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 5,908$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.73 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 5,304$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.9 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 5,283$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.21 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 4,817$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 4,028$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.92 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 4,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,971$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.16 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 3,263$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.19 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 3,220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 3,040$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.68 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,767$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,742$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.53 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,495$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.5 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,358$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.33 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,343$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.38 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,863$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.48 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,790$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 1,760$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,600$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.39 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,457$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,400$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.4 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 1,302$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,211$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.71 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,200$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.19 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 1,088$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,051$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 1,046$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,040$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.54 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,012$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.71 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 1,000$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.85 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 999.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 999.99$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 999.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 982.71$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.69 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 924.33$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.38 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 884$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.13 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 868.14$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 836.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 799.99$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.69 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…cce4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 728.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 613.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 579.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 573.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 565.17$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 553.45$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 537.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 524.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 503.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 487.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 484.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 476.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.93 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 460.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.65 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 435.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 408$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…9b3ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 392.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…8b66backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 391.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 379.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 343.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 342.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 331.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 319.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…b299backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 301.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 288.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 286.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 264.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 262.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…bc8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 261.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…4625backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 254.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 253.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 253.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 251.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 247.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 210.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 208.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked San Diego Padres | 77c | 206.74$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 203.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 199.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 195.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 193.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 190.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…92c1backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 187.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 187.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 187.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 12.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.