Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Lorenzo Claverie vs Nick Hardt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x440262f88c04a151ef2df1c381daa52bbc6c887cc6f2c3e6a1788f76d32026e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Claverieof Lorenzo Claverie, Nick Hardt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Nick Hardt | 75c | 21,580$16,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,221.22 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Claverie | 47c | 10,112$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,388.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lorenzo Claverie | 38c | 8,030$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,974.7 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nick Hardt | 46c | 5,554$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nick Hardt | 78c | 5,211$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 60c | 4,732$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.67 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lorenzo Claverie | 49c | 4,203$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.72 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 22c | 3,111$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.05 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nick Hardt | 48c | 2,948$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Nick Hardt | 74c | 2,454$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 2,392$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.63 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Nick Hardt | 53c | 2,250$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.49 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Nick Hardt | 50c | 2,130$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.61 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Claverie | 60c | 2,124$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.05 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nick Hardt | 49c | 1,907$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.24 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 57c | 1,877$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nick Hardt | 56c | 1,749$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.67 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 1,696$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.4 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nick Hardt | 61c | 1,645$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.43 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Claverie | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Nick Hardt | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 1,136$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nick Hardt | 47c | 1,099$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.83 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Lorenzo Claverie | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.11 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Claverie | 49c | 1,037$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nick Hardt | 49c | 1,031$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.29 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 21c | 999.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.99 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nick Hardt | 65c | 999.47$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.18 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nick Hardt | 37c | 943.64$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.15 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Nick Hardt | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nick Hardt | 62c | 812.4$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.25 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lorenzo Claverie | 52c | 805.85$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.15 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 21c | 722.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.47 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lorenzo Claverie | 23c | 707.64$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.22 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 56c | 612.34$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.26 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nick Hardt | 47c | 582.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Lorenzo Claverie | 52c | 577.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Lorenzo Claverie | 54c | 555.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.29 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nick Hardt | 46c | 534.02$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 487.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.7 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Nick Hardt | 48c | 485.75$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.96 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Lorenzo Claverie | 55c | 479.04$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Nick Hardt | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Nick Hardt | 44c | 456.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Claverie | 55c | 456.17$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Lorenzo Claverie | 22c | 436.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nick Hardt | 45c | 417.65$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Lorenzo Claverie | 23c | 415$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.41 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Nick Hardt | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Nick Hardt | 37c | 400$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nick Hardt | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Nick Hardt | 67c | 396.42$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Nick Hardt | 14c | 378.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Nick Hardt | 35c | 351$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…a851backed Nick Hardt | 40c | 348.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Nick Hardt | 62c | 335$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.39 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Nick Hardt | 61c | 331.43$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 60c | 326.87$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 71c | 322.02$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 104 | 69.2%72 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Nick Hardt | 52c | 319$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 22c | 307.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Lorenzo Claverie | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lorenzo Claverie | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Lorenzo Claverie | 24c | 290$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Lorenzo Claverie | 53c | 289.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Lorenzo Claverie | 50c | 283.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 282.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Lorenzo Claverie | 17c | 278.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.23 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Nick Hardt | 36c | 274.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Lorenzo Claverie | 47c | 262.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lorenzo Claverie | 59c | 248.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Nick Hardt | 45c | 243.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 24c | 240.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lorenzo Claverie | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Lorenzo Claverie | 50c | 230.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…d809backed Lorenzo Claverie | 55c | 215.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Nick Hardt | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nick Hardt | 46c | 206.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lorenzo Claverie | 20c | 206.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nick Hardt | 46c | 204.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Lorenzo Claverie | 64c | 202$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Nick Hardt | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Nick Hardt | 60c | 187.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Lorenzo Claverie | 56c | 184.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 182.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 37c | 178.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Lorenzo Claverie | 39c | 178.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Nick Hardt | 61c | 172$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Nick Hardt | 51c | 168.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Lorenzo Claverie | 23c | 166.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Nick Hardt | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 25c | 161.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lorenzo Claverie | 23c | 159$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Nick Hardt | 61c | 158$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Lorenzo Claverie | 23c | 157.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nick Hardt | 46c | 157.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Lorenzo Claverie vs Nick Hardtthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Claverie vs HardtClaverie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.