WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e995f3b0379b25a31c47fb75f7e7c2f4d4256b5282c09b5e6cf711afdb8d468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Phoenix Mercury, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 74,134$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 55,839$17,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,994.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 69c | 30,748$21,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,532.03 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 12,348$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.99 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 74c | 10,045$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.19 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 0c | 8,439$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.99 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Dallas Wings | 71c | 6,774$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.2 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Dallas Wings | 76c | 6,330$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.98 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 3c | 6,272$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.52 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dallas Wings | 68c | 6,042$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.72 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 5,419$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Dallas Wings | 71c | 5,062$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.05 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings | 78c | 4,243$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.76 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dallas Wings | 71c | 3,335$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.01 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Dallas Wings | 66c | 3,280$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 75c | 3,198$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 2,450$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 2,086$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.78 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dallas Wings | 73c | 2,084$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.58 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Dallas Wings | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 1,978$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.42 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings | 74c | 1,775$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.08 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Dallas Wings | 69c | 1,554$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.51 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dallas Wings | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.08 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dallas Wings | 73c | 1,336$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.65 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 1,327$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.75 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Dallas Wings | 79c | 1,272$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.98 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 1,193$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.81 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dallas Wings | 73c | 1,099$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 1,020$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Dallas Wings | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Dallas Wings | 75c | 849.72$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 848$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 837.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 690$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Dallas Wings | 70c | 680.58$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Dallas Wings | 75c | 660$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…aeedbacked Phoenix Mercury | 3c | 657.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Dallas Wings | 73c | 595.18$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Dallas Wings | 74c | 568$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…0089backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 530$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Dallas Wings | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 465.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…bda7backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 434$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Dallas Wings | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…d74ebacked Dallas Wings | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Dallas Wings | 71c | 405.63$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…149cbacked Dallas Wings | 67c | 370.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Dallas Wings | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Dallas Wings | 70c | 342.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 342$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 334.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Phoenix Mercury | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 316.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 308.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked Dallas Wings | 71c | 295.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Dallas Wings | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Dallas Wings | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dallas Wings | 69c | 279.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Dallas Wings | 73c | 273$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd31…39a8backed Dallas Wings | 77c | 270.18$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dallas Wings | 67c | 267.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 6c | 263$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 261.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Dallas Wings | 73c | 246.96$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Dallas Wings | 73c | 230$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed Dallas Wings | 71c | 222$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Dallas Wings | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 203.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Dallas Wings | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 187.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Dallas Wings | 79c | 187.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dallas Wings | 70c | 186.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 181.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 171.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 162.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Dallas Wings | 75c | 157.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…c309backed Dallas Wings | 71c | 151.42$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 144.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Dallas Wings | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Dallas Wings | 79c | 138.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Dallas Wings | 67c | 133.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 127$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 124.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 123.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 122.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 122.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Dallas Wings | 79c | 112.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 111.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…9b3ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 101.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…e947backed Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wingsthis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.