WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2d569bfdd24fec1621679b225b0e3f9837b54cbc069490dd9d59ef5e93594cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.96 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 8,075$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.68 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 48c | 6,946$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…3042backed Over | 47c | 3,900$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 3,322$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.56 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 49c | 3,167$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.21 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 2,909$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.2 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 1,557$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.55 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 47c | 1,298$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 714.25$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.1 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 65c | 671.56$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.05 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 54c | 500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 445$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 251.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 215.24$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 20c | 175.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 50c | 174.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Under | 67c | 173$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 137.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 26c | 130.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 24c | 104.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 48c | 91.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Under | 67c | 87.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 48c | 67.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 37c | 58.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 38c | 50.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Over | 49c | 31.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…06e2backed Under | 53c | 27.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 47c | 21.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 64c | 21.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 77c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 77c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 77c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 77c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 77c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.