WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dae14c85a9503dca2efa0779e4ab8284cd05172f351c91bccbd64e7f6a15b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Los Angeles Sparks, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fe8…06c9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 53,339$28,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,099.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 39,256$20,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,235.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed PortlandFire | 49c | 27,481$13,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,453.61 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed PortlandFire | 48c | 23,789$11,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,419.97 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 14,850$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,424.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 68c | 8,355$5,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.43 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks | 34c | 7,931$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220.48 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Los Angeles Sparks | 37c | 6,759$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 47c | 6,081$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.88 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 55c | 6,033$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.58 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked PortlandFire | 49c | 5,900$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.24 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…5305backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 5,445$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed PortlandFire | 50c | 5,253$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.28 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed PortlandFire | 47c | 4,794$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.22 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed PortlandFire | 66c | 4,701$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.1 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 4,560$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.65 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed PortlandFire | 66c | 4,558$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 49c | 4,433$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.93 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 47c | 4,317$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.74 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.97 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 80c | 3,997$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PortlandFire | 43c | 3,733$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.83 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 72c | 3,480$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.27 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 3,196$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.22 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire | 48c | 3,131$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.6 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked PortlandFire | 37c | 2,748$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.76 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed PortlandFire | 49c | 2,681$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.93 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked PortlandFire | 69c | 2,524$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed PortlandFire | 66c | 2,238$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.99 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 2,050$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,993$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.57 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 1,972$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.23 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 1,940$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.21 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,672$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.53 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 28c | 1,603$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.47 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed PortlandFire | 71c | 1,603$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Los Angeles Sparks | 66c | 1,480$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed PortlandFire | 50c | 1,456$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 1,444$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.7 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 1,416$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.32 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,256$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.88 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9074…0a7bbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 1,232$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed PortlandFire | 46c | 1,155$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.72 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked PortlandFire | 66c | 1,103$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.09 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed PortlandFire | 49c | 1,072$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 1,059$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.08 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PortlandFire | 53c | 999.64$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.22 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 34c | 985.29$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.29 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PortlandFire | 46c | 980.01$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.17 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 957.07$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 933$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.17 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 840.35$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.01 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed PortlandFire | 47c | 822$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.34 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 28c | 808.61$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.88 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PortlandFire | 48c | 763.5$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.48 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 748.35$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.29 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 726.27$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.34 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed PortlandFire | 43c | 706.28$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 35c | 692.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed PortlandFire | 47c | 665.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 38c | 647.22$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.43 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked PortlandFire | 39c | 636.4$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.45 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 63c | 635.73$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed PortlandFire | 48c | 629.6$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…4daabacked PortlandFire | 9c | 620.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked PortlandFire | 50c | 612.04$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked PortlandFire | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 570$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.13 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 39c | 564.83$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.16 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire | 3c | 550$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 39c | 540.78$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.2 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked PortlandFire | 23c | 520$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 500$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed PortlandFire | 19c | 487.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…02fdbacked PortlandFire | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed PortlandFire | 38c | 467.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed PortlandFire | 40c | 460$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Los Angeles Sparks | 60c | 459.69$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked PortlandFire | 40c | 440$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed PortlandFire | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 414.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Los Angeles Sparks | 57c | 409.92$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed PortlandFire | 61c | 401.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed PortlandFire | 41c | 399.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked PortlandFire | 40c | 399.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire | 42c | 384.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed PortlandFire | 40c | 380$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed PortlandFire | 39c | 366.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 365.14$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked PortlandFire | 12c | 357.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 57c | 356.09$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked PortlandFire | 18c | 348.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirethis page
- Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5Over won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.