WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6298ee5cf4ea437693ca013918f05d2c38fb654b1eed1562ad3fcb467d1e8a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Over | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 2,247$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.53 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 1,197$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.97 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 1,011$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.79 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 51c | 888.01$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.48 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 39c | 805$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.74 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 12c | 601.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 2c | 566$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 63c | 446.36$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.96 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 19c | 378.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 34c | 327.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 8c | 304$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 44c | 204$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 12c | 189.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 73c | 162$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 36c | 151.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 42c | 147.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 42c | 146.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 58c | 136$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 42c | 127$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 58c | 126.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 69c | 120.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 118.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 21c | 107.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 55c | 106.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 77c | 103$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Over | 56c | 99.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 56c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 69c | 93.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 92.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 44c | 91.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…17c6backed Over | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Under | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 62c | 75.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 67c | 73.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 72c | 63.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 23c | 54.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Under | 29c | 46.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 40c | 45.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 31c | 42.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 44c | 42.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 54c | 40.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 55c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 36.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Under | 45c | 33.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 43c | 33.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 45c | 23.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Over | 72c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5this page
- Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFireLos Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.