TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c6,672$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.681,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under47c4,997$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.861747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Under53c3,994$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5906154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over66c2,031$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.2534726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06026953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c1,841$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.7338650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under51c1,648$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.231586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+64.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c999.96$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9810548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under44c881.73$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under53c758$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.7413742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over52c747.47$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0732540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c640.44$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.691,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under29c609.12$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3555255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Under53c607.59$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.993455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c570.62$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.1774942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Under54c560$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.45752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c406.25$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Over78c383.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.835949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under54c339.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.599255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over51c338$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.627648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Under52c304.36$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.45242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over48c301.42$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.371952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over50c299.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under29c288.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1412661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c214.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7889349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Under48c206.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010059%59 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c200.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0964152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under51c200.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0940550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Under12c197.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.549827.6%27 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over47c195.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under24c195.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.978836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Over46c192$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.684431.8%14 W · 30 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over48c190.78$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.329336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under51c153$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0917350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under49c148.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1417656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under28c143.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over47c140.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.663839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over46c137.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.447138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Over57c132.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Under45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.262759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under44c110.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.717945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110244.1%45 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Over67c98.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.254452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over48c88.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0432948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under50c82.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.610345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under53c68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.045147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over60c60.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.598556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over60c59.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8932150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Under24c58.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.741526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under33c57.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0422440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Under44c54.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over48c53.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.767147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over48c51.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8112359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under27c50.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under46c49.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8510454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over48c45.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.795844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.556030%18 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over48c42.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.011346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over48c42.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8810853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208457.1%48 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over64c37.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.454070%28 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5d6…7192backed Under54c37.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over47c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5415746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under45c35.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.958549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2621446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over61c34.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6113355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under45c34.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5120340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over58c34.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.418748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over56c34.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.995853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3334753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over54c31.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6919257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.514148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under48c24.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.719245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over51c23.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.612045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over51c21.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over54c20.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3737650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over58c19.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1136454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over62c16.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5130649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.