TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c10,161$6,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,126.38,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes63c9,900$6,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.2523733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c7,047$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,494.321,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes72c6,974$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.89520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No9c6,466$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.0282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No42c5,476$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.452,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No27c5,292$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.514456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes19c5,000$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0503821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No33c2,985$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.3611338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes56c2,062$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.4429037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes67c1,841$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.453545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes69c1,840$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.535540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No13c1,737$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5610618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes62c1,668$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.1920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No14c1,526$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3710828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f6…ba20backed No9c1,492$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.841040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No33c1,472$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6130847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No39c1,464$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.9957540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No37c1,440$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.526232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3756…b936backed No1c1,313$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.321118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-71.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506540%26 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No31c1,180$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.761,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed No4c1,123$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.926827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No80c1,116$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.4224855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c1,059$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.175,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c1,022$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.743,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Yes49c906.53$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.5212340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes71c852.76$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.28657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No73c852.19$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.158268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes20c773$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.449136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes25c760$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.810667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes34c695.2$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.863842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No54c607.72$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.581,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes59c589.64$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3646449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No45c558.48$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.953836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c548.3$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.751,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked No2c508.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.184626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes60c500.98$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3833152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No65c472.58$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9810649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No46c465.15$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3516641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9851…c31dbacked No5c444.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No33c388.61$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.061,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe37c…ef29backed Yes62c369.82$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No28c350.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No59c336.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No48c256.44$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.318446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Yes57c252.8$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No36c252.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.478937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No32c250$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.513451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No57c239.53$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No46c236.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.743,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No55c226.46$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4817051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes56c224.03$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7769453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes55c223.72$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7150656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1134…47e5backed Yes73c217.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Yes71c213.73$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.98757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked No16c205.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.141637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0811328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes77c184.89$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.871,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes56c183.07$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.551747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab2…4daabacked Yes20c180.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes57c180$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2172058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76b…9b3ebacked Yes55c159.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No68c147.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No49c145.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7319040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes75c124.55$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5860156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes75c123.1$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No32c118$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.766744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No30c117.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…ab54backed Yes57c117.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.492420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No17c114.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9921538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes22c106.36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3630231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes69c104$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.571,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes34c102.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.196040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes59c98.28$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8910458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No43c96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5219150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Yes69c95.25$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.152343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012535.2%44 W · 81 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No43c88.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe532…f54abacked Yes20c87.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes28c87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.422378.3%18 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+93%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed No12c86.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No47c85.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.449244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No41c83.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6323044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes30c83.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.261,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No71c80.36$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x276a…fc66backed Yes73c76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521770.6%12 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick77cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Yes61c74.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.864372.1%31 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Yes76c72.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8315364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes26c72.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8211944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed Yes52c68.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.942352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No52c67.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.172352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed No25c67.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.032339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No28c66.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes59c65.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.731353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.