South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b88983892059d0e9938a7c8b3e57c08229f5c4c7cef15e176b35747200524f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 34,683$11,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,270.95 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 50c | 29,305$14,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,698.46 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 51c | 11,995$6,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,857.55 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 10,374$6,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 43c | 7,420$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.13 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 51c | 7,067$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,604 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 48c | 7,044$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.14 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 45c | 5,215$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.23 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 59c | 4,740$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.43 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 47c | 4,259$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.59 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 3,891$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.77 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 64c | 3,817$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.91 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Yes | 46c | 2,854$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.47 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 46c | 2,753$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.67 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 2,700$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.43 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 52c | 2,535$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,337$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 51c | 2,276$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.16 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 47c | 2,273$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.01 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 63c | 2,191$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.47 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 44c | 2,132$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.23 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 1,834$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.96 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 25c | 1,701$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.13 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 30c | 1,525$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.08 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 50c | 1,419$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 1,288$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,114$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.84 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 49c | 1,018$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.64 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 49c | 999.93$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.96 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 991.24$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.71 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 50c | 960$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 54c | 760$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Yes | 12c | 651.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes | 47c | 589.46$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked No | 50c | 477.4$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 42c | 476$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 58c | 475.21$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.22 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes | 24c | 416.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 381.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 378.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 66c | 360$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 327.34$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 307.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…bb40backed Yes | 50c | 292.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 39c | 284.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 79c | 280$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 52c | 277.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 272.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 54c | 270.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…2352backed Yes | 18c | 264.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 46c | 258.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 56c | 257.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 50c | 225.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Yes | 45c | 215.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 33c | 215.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 49c | 212.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 33c | 211.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 48c | 204$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 37c | 199$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 195.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Yes | 49c | 189$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Yes | 45c | 184.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 181.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 49c | 180.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed No | 49c | 179.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 34c | 177.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 35c | 175.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…09d2backed Yes | 51c | 171.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 170$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 40c | 166$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 49c | 163.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 159.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1a…f7d9backed Yes | 16c | 147.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 137.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 47c | 129.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 38c | 127.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 47c | 123.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 122.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 50c | 110.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yes | 45c | 108.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 106.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 60c | 98.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.