TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Braden Shickof Timo Legout, Braden Shick
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebfd…fd63backed Timo Legout44c24,502$10,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,662.533735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timo Legout73c16,706$12,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,200.4211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Braden Shick46c13,087$5,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,101.93,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Braden Shick38c12,639$4,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,867.444,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Timo Legout65c7,859$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.229,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Timo Legout78c7,238$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.262,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Braden Shick20c5,880$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,722.954,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Timo Legout79c5,452$4,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,317.75,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Braden Shick35c3,164$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.421,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Braden Shick39c3,015$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.128,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Braden Shick40c2,568$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.738,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Timo Legout67c1,969$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.68666.3%57 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Timo Legout69c1,884$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.023,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Timo Legout64c1,829$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.322,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Timo Legout48c1,767$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.614,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Braden Shick29c1,713$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.562,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Braden Shick33c1,443$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.511,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Timo Legout50c1,433$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.255,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Braden Shick15c1,284$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.541,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf30…5c23backed Timo Legout51c1,275$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6508844.3%39 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Braden Shick13c1,154$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.8543950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c2…4302backed Braden Shick32c930.14$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.191040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Braden Shick29c923.76$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.771,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Braden Shick18c910.36$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.596,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Braden Shick61c903.4$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4380153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Timo Legout79c635.07$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.064,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Timo Legout51c624.31$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3161,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Timo Legout49c599.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2947,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Timo Legout61c599.39$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.5834052.1%177 W · 163 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Braden Shick34c543.21$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.959924.2%24 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Braden Shick22c540.91$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.756,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Timo Legout61c527.68$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.271,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Braden Shick51c510.68$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.393,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Timo Legout54c505.68$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5357841%237 W · 341 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Timo Legout37c500$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.879,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Braden Shick22c498$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.221,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Braden Shick51c491.34$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3462557.6%360 W · 265 L-18.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Timo Legout50c466$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23346255.8%258 W · 204 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Braden Shick21c461$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.3947852.1%249 W · 229 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Timo Legout60c447.83$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.911,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Timo Legout76c439.75$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.421,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Timo Legout63c418.04$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.052,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffe…a60fbacked Timo Legout74c397.93$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4716967.5%114 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed Braden Shick26c383.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.752927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Timo Legout47c376.52$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.761,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…5369backed Braden Shick58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8313754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Braden Shick10c297$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.684,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Braden Shick55c291.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.462,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Braden Shick9c283.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.052,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Braden Shick19c271.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.715,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Braden Shick46c267.44$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.891,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x016a…6f6fbacked Braden Shick24c266.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.571145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Braden Shick13c265$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.121,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Braden Shick49c262.25$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.751,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Timo Legout33c243.85$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5832726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Timo Legout49c243.66$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3952152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Braden Shick48c232.82$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2343947.2%207 W · 232 L-1.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Timo Legout49c226.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7745751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Timo Legout40c221.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7624349.4%120 W · 123 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Braden Shick31c219$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9597852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa205…d809backed Timo Legout58c217.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2110146.5%47 W · 54 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Timo Legout46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Timo Legout80c213.78$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7225234.1%86 W · 166 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Braden Shick54c209$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1473951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Timo Legout48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Braden Shick54c204.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.951,17952.8%623 W · 556 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Braden Shick28c203$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7292046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Timo Legout42c200$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.294,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Timo Legout57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21bb…c5dbbacked Braden Shick13c200$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.864465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9016…7c89backed Braden Shick43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143813.2%5 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Timo Legout74c198.07$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.012,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Timo Legout72c192.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.592,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Braden Shick54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Timo Legout44c180.41$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3831237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Timo Legout57c176.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Braden Shick41c173.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.141,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd759…6d1abacked Braden Shick29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.412347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Braden Shick54c167.51$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7792352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe277…c4e9backed Braden Shick31c156.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Braden Shick47c152.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.891,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Timo Legout70c148.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.013,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Braden Shick49c136.68$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.712,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Braden Shick55c129$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.051,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Timo Legout50c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.435457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6441…180abacked Braden Shick53c116.4$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Braden Shick65c115$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.291,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Braden Shick55c112.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3465942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcada…df46backed Timo Legout77c112.3$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.475536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Braden Shick43c104.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8433656.8%191 W · 145 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e65…f052backed Braden Shick55c98.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.183452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Braden Shick60c91.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9132755%180 W · 147 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfccc…6479backed Braden Shick55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Braden Shick28c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.821447.2%101 W · 113 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x746c…36aabacked Timo Legout46c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.563655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Braden Shick21c85.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4316154.7%88 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Braden Shick23c85.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2525336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7497…18cebacked Braden Shick36c83.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.487946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Braden Shick34c81.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5419841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Timo Legout46c80.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.