South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4810c13827c07f2c889551214b554dd9e741bbec8cbe321417596a6d9ea3c54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 33c | 10,978$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.76 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.76 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 5,728$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.72 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 55c | 3,841$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.35 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 3,581$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.96 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 2,962$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.26 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 44c | 1,250$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.75 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 44c | 1,193$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.89 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 30c | 1,167$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.09 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,163$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 1,017$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.16 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 594.55$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 43c | 579$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 562.42$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 55c | 538$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 43c | 371$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 69c | 343.06$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 69c | 342.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 67c | 279.26$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 70c | 260.84$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 70c | 254.59$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 229.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 216.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 15c | 204.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 195.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 38c | 140.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 137.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 44c | 128.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 40c | 120.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 17c | 111.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 79c | 95.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 57c | 83.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Yes | 45c | 83.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 83.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 80c | 70.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 68c | 70.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 55c | 67.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…59e6backed Yes | 46c | 66.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 66c | 63.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed No | 60c | 60.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…24dbbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 71c | 53.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed No | 61c | 51.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 31c | 50.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked No | 56c | 42.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 37c | 39.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed No | 56c | 37.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5953…192fbacked Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 44c | 31.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 30.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6b…7d19backed No | 60c | 27.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed No | 69c | 27.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…91f4backed No | 75c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 71c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 58c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 58c | 17.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No | 64c | 16.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…c338backed No | 71c | 14.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed No | 70c | 14.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.