Champions League · resolved market
Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x576c505785ce453d53e45cd8cfc6dcee715cacae04ce75f3e03c31b7a10502f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 4,400$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.14 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 46c | 4,247$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.49 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 4,236$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.68 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 3,293$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.58 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 3,215$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.3 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 2,986$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.9 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 78c | 2,025$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 39c | 1,603$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.53 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 1,565$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.22 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 1,430$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.95 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 1,213$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.07 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 59c | 933.53$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.54 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 22c | 808$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.24 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 569.56$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.76 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 12c | 445.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.62 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…8b83backed No | 79c | 362$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…593abacked Yes | 25c | 316.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 10c | 289.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 49c | 269$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 21c | 228.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.61 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 209.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 75c | 208.32$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 200.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 159.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 74c | 133$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 49c | 132.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed No | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 40c | 114.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 18c | 104.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 21c | 91.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 21c | 91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 32c | 86.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 26c | 81.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 31c | 81.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 54c | 81.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 54c | 75.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…fe5ebacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 78c | 74.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 67.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 56.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 49c | 53.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 79cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 45c | 50.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Yes | 22c | 50.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 49.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 47.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 59c | 37.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 34c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Yes | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 29.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 78c | 28.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 70c | 23.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…645fbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…802bbacked No | 70c | 18.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 78c | 17.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…0a26backed Yes | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?No won
- Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.