MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa672d7914b6cf5c2ede7368a159485b46d2319e551b3bc26aa242d6c808f0090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof San Francisco Giants, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $762,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $772,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $762,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 131,306$71,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,486.36 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 115,081$50,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,390.59 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 105,183$58,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,902.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 73,770$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 69,042$29,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,856.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 50,316$24,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,360.07 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 32,656$20,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,007.32 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 31,291$13,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,318.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…5a2bbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 23,716$11,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,569.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 21,781$9,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,122.31 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 18,850$10,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,179.15 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 18,308$9,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,886.42 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 15,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 10,977$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 9,390$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.44 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 9,368$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250.93 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 8,648$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.48 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 7,638$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 7,200$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 6,148$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 5,247$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.41 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.97 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 4,881$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 4,741$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.23 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 4,641$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 4,224$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 3,743$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.83 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 3,689$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,640$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,129$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,932$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.49 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 2,878$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,602$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.83 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,426$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,420$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 2,401$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.3 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked San Francisco Giants | 10c | 2,182$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 2,181$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.61 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 2,021$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,883$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,800$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,706$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.81 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Francisco Giants | 26c | 1,595$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.32 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,400$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.4 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,120$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.71 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,046$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.72 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 999.99$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.67 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 951.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 926.37$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 912.84$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.76 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 909.91$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.12 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…dca8backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 893.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 828.99$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.65 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 767.82$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 676.3$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.64 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked San Francisco Giants | 69c | 675$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.5 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 631.33$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.02 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 631$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 575.96$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.38 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 557.64$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.79 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 551.15$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.26 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 540$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…52c5backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 521.82$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 517.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 505.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 503.64$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.22 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 476.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.11 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked San Francisco Giants | 80c | 446.25$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 422.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked San Francisco Giants | 71c | 422.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked San Francisco Giants | 74c | 404.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 404.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 399.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 394.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 358$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.74 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.