TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Yes14c24,281$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,776.7851140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes66c12,813$8,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.29580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c8,341$4,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,506.395,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c6,127$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,474.32,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No35c4,173$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.164953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No4c2,709$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1494043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes39c1,852$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.51,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes72c1,423$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.6418659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No4c1,338$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8422542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes57c1,093$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.6228446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes46c1,029$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.492065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No23c868.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.864831.3%15 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes14c582.59$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed No5c551.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes70c541.13$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2664143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf804…4c3dbacked Yes76c522.67$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c518.71$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.247,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Yes7c510.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.461050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+148.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No64c499.41$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.515552.7%29 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes64c464.74$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes58c463.32$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.31241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c462.78$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5498653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…0a26backed Yes65c413.11$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No71c394.89$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.166958%40 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes56c392.76$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes15c392.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5212449.2%61 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes77c384.23$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed No78c375.56$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.281258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x141d…9165backed Yes80c371.4$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No77c348.6$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.534669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.993360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+61.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes51c343$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e2…13ffbacked No50c333.04$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.92580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No77c319.6$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.210360.2%62 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes30c319.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.531650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No13c307$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91200%0 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes64c293.51$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.792842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes31c277.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+223.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No51c260.24$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8526060.8%158 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No51c259.46$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8510560%63 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76fc…6682backed Yes71c246.97$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f86…b83dbacked Yes76c246.27$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.77366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f0…b7b1backed Yes55c239.45$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes8c236.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No79c234.82$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.856759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No77c217.53$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.564553.3%24 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No43c197.67$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4911758.1%68 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36de…ea85backed Yes16c192.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.421827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes15c189.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.331030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Yes79c174.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Yes56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No71c170.38$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.973773%27 W · 10 L+8.4wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+73.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No17c147$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9980%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…bd3bbacked Yes67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555a…6ee2backed Yes67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x644b…43a2backed Yes33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes16c143.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.013441.2%14 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick27cpaid+43.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No57c143.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5520953.1%111 W · 98 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No57c143.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5311354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Yes15c141.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes13c141.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.981827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+70%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No55c137.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2711155.9%62 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes14c135.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.523231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No55c127.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6530656.2%172 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No78c126.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.682846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes75c126.28$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.573151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No41c119.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3889258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No57c116.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.375464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No57c116.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3510848.1%52 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No57c115.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3714560%87 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No58c115.34$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3715157.6%87 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No58c115.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.379463.8%60 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No58c114.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3838359.3%227 W · 156 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No41c114.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3716756.3%94 W · 73 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Yes27c106.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.562828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Yes56c105$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.45242.3%22 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb7c…efe1backed Yes19c104.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+107.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No61c102.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3332259.3%191 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecea…ac99backed Yes14c101.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+257.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed No25c99.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba2d…2f32backed No23c98.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.76825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes60c98.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.972356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed No47c96.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.111637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes17c95.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8793845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb4…c08dbacked Yes17c95.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb08…c7d9backed Yes15c94.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed No62c94.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.012853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes14c94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1913628.7%39 W · 97 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked No11c91.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1770%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked No40c86.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.441866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No65c84.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.053363.6%21 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed No46c84.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No41c82.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.176959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No42c82.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1711056.4%62 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No40c81.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.855962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No42c80.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1840958.9%241 W · 168 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d71…a943backed Yes30c79.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.88850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c5…b169backed No25c79.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes15c77.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8457019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d4…eacdbacked No16c71.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.