TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes34c45,992$15,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,621.9318940.2%76 W · 113 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No66c44,658$29,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,140.7617146.8%80 W · 91 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c13,624$5,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,467.382,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes31c13,565$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,210.3813050%65 W · 65 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No30c11,008$3,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,707.394953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c7,740$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,563.627,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes66c6,544$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes42c5,681$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.733938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No19c5,431$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+203.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No39c5,226$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.6894043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No69c4,945$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.4251140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes38c3,980$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.337138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes73c3,975$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes80c3,833$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.033860.5%23 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c3,461$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.4598552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No62c3,299$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.2218659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No8c2,820$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.961450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+88.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No35c2,770$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.831,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e6…454ebacked Yes4c2,502$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No18c1,997$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes41c1,882$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No19c1,744$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+122.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Yes73c1,500$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x964d…2acdbacked Yes73c1,348$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes71c1,321$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes66c1,291$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.251566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c1,256$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.032,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes63c1,186$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.818356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes61c1,161$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.692737%10 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No14c1,138$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.8822542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes13c1,100$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9918241.8%76 W · 106 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes71c982.6$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed No42c871.33$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe96b…f054backed Yes71c827.35$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes71c808.22$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0796…8264backed Yes76c653.81$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.081850%9 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No57c644.19$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3414262.7%89 W · 53 L+15.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No20c639.95$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.366217.7%11 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes62c627.21$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.95552.7%29 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes80c617.5$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49430%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes68c595.65$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.763360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+61.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes34c576.74$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.313148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes36c555$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.84831.3%15 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No69c518.94$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.639644.8%43 W · 53 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No21c468.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.642,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Yes42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.042835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No21c434.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.351957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes66c405.89$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes29c399.69$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.911435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Yes29c398.14$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No59c394.09$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.582458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes78c392$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.412630.2%38 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes74c377.52$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.854353.5%23 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No21c374.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.771,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes80c370.5$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.41030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes74c360.2$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.544553.3%24 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes73c341.3$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5410360.2%62 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0f…325dbacked No20c333.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+221.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Yes12c332.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.96200%0 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes76c327.41$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.34856.3%27 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No40c321.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2498653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No20c321.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.832,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes79c318.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25226549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Yes66c303.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.994961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Yes72c296.43$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.435362.3%33 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No44c290.81$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9711155.9%62 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No25c282.36$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5319156.5%108 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No21c274.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.221,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f05…d802backed Yes31c273.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No41c271.82$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3616756.3%94 W · 73 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No41c271.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.326060.8%158 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No44c271.74$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0211354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No41c271.42$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9720953.1%111 W · 98 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes73c269.53$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.766829.4%20 W · 48 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Yes68c259.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No69c256.65$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.159351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No41c252.35$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9510560%63 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes18c250.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.042416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-72.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Yes64c249.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No74c247.79$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.392065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.41650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No34c239.24$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2811837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes61c235.89$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9316750.9%85 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Yes67c235.25$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.62757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea0…ade9backed Yes20c234.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Yes42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5211941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes30c217.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4538147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…39e7backed Yes32c203.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…9182backed Yes73c202.15$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.571428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Yes42c199.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.982365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Yes73c198.11$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.623050%15 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes39c192.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.157844.9%35 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes38c190.16$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.454669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e2…13ffbacked No65c189.47$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.12580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No69c183.32$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.625459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb061…58d4backed Yes48c177.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes80c175.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.285250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Yes56c175.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.451250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes38c152.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.77560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+105.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.