South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2284a8523a05451f9dfb7b6cb005c91c4468cee6b10cb24e2ab450115f9b458f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 12,749$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.43 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 20c | 4,810$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.09 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 22c | 2,181$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.82 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 79c | 1,624$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.04 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 1,278$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 1,234$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.41 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 11c | 1,064$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 1,045$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 21c | 454.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 20c | 297.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 19c | 279.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 18c | 224.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 13c | 220$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 183.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 181.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 32c | 174$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 153.96$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 149$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 16c | 128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 79c | 119.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 116.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 13c | 99.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 96.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 80c | 79.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 16c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 13c | 77.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 79c | 60.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 79c | 50.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 79c | 50.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 49.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…bea1backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 80c | 28.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 21.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 78c | 18.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 80c | 18.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 79c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 79c | 16.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 80c | 15.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 79c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 14.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 79c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-28?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-07-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.