TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes27c40,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,199.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c27,463$19,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,990.485459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c20,754$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,839.791,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes28c17,857$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,857.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c14,591$10,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,583.0698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes70c10,499$7,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.1521058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c8,494$6,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,115.468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c8,187$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,960.3913839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No73c6,849$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00019952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Yes73c6,019$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No73c5,860$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.768463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No24c5,285$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.1416819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No20c4,866$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.539950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes27c4,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.974528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Yes70c3,860$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes28c3,649$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c3,570$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.362,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No73c3,425$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes27c3,423$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.123423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No73c3,396$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.93158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c3,225$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.256567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1604663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No72c2,187$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.936936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.993228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c1,717$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.2534239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes63c1,575$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.382236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Yes68c1,472$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c1,327$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.2822743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No73c1,274$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.3560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…d511backed No73c1,242$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No73c1,204$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.572040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No73c1,110$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.43333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Yes28c1,057$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+252.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.991421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes27c987.96$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.6415946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes75c963.61$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes73c904$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.543036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c880$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.636456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes64c878.18$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0112044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No72c819.14$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.887762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c722.61$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c702$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c700$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49716032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes28c678.57$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No37c651.66$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9527453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes29c628.73$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+127.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No72c627.97$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.141450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes37c621.83$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes63c619.05$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.052161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes74c597.89$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3111053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8836…c2febacked No73c539$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No73c516.33$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.923847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes27c500.1$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.074955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes27c482$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.862055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes27c481.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes27c472.38$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.7141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3345…9c9abacked No73c450$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c438.64$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0332854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7913…f3e2backed Yes69c433.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes64c421.41$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked No73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-63.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c394.61$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.729149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes25c385.84$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.381428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes26c384.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.63928.2%11 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes28c384.5$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.884744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+87.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1a…dfcfbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes28c364.55$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.55650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes28c364.55$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.55650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.146822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831963.2%12 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+137%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No47c344.73$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7520749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No34c328.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.285139.2%20 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14411667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes52c287.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9910451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes28c285.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes28c285.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.71540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No45c283.77$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.314339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes38c262.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.561060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No73c261$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5311153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b78…0eb8backed Yes27c245.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.434100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+127.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No55c240$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8027…4fe3backed Yes27c236.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+264.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce2…34bdbacked Yes27c235.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Yes64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes67c229.12$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.121553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49d…fdebbacked No73c209.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x246d…21e9backed No73c208.7$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.35540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes28c207.14$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes56c206.4$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.46358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c201.18$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14222237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…c704backed Yes27c196.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x533a…6566backed No73c192$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.16650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.