Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaba048539e588e7c34dea4324a447a1fdb9ae9104d6a2f6f071f9e4b06b0252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $588,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 54,105$25,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,372.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 68c | 20,733$14,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 47c | 17,588$8,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,281.89 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 48c | 15,858$7,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,168.24 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit | 37c | 10,360$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.23 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 40c | 10,314$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,182.4 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Team Spirit | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Team Spirit | 71c | 8,533$6,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,058.44 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit | 59c | 8,490$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 42c | 8,008$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,681.01 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Spirit | 62c | 7,985$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.03 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 39c | 7,679$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,684.49 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 60c | 6,983$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.43 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 37c | 6,831$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.71 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Spirit | 61c | 6,508$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Spirit | 29c | 6,182$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.88 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Aurora | 40c | 6,047$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.86 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Aurora | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.97 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 52c | 4,689$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.87 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 45c | 4,565$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.09 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 4,022$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.14 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora | 62c | 3,470$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.59 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 3,007$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Spirit | 40c | 2,895$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.25 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 46c | 2,883$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.19 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,570$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.34 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 59c | 2,570$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.11 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,477$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.36 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 2,260$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.66 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 38c | 2,254$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.92 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora | 36c | 2,250$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit | 21c | 2,238$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.72 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Spirit | 45c | 2,220$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.07 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7725…5bb5backed Team Spirit | 22c | 2,144$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…2c7abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 2,101$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora | 40c | 2,045$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.98 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 57c | 2,029$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.86 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Aurora | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Aurora | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.99 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,937$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.39 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Spirit | 1c | 1,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,894$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.29 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 41c | 1,870$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.65 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,861$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Aurora | 75c | 1,787$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.42 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,770$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Aurora | 52c | 1,733$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.4 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 45c | 1,650$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,584$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.82 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Aurora | 51c | 1,519$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.53 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Aurora | 32c | 1,510$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.57 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Aurora | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Aurora | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 1,477$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.75 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,430$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.91 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Team Spirit | 31c | 1,409$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.51 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 29c | 1,332$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.73 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Aurora | 36c | 1,292$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,251$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.31 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Aurora | 63c | 1,250$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.26 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Aurora | 48c | 1,242$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.3 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Aurora | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,190$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.36 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…a319backed Team Spirit | 68c | 1,178$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Aurora | 56c | 1,176$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.56 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 40c | 1,145$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.4 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aurora | 56c | 1,134$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.55 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,120$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.83 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 40c | 1,094$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.62 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 71c | 1,086$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.92 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,080$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 39c | 1,060$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.37 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,043$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.91 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 41c | 1,035$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.64 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,021$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.79 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Aurora | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…4ba8backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Aurora | 29c | 999.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.84 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora | 48c | 999.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.32 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 54c | 999.95$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.73 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Team Spirit | 61c | 986.25$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Aurora | 52c | 973.62$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.06 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 41c | 971.62$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.74 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 25c | 962.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 36c | 899.96$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.97 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 61c | 860.99$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Spirit | 29c | 853.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 850$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…2ebfbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 833.89$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Aurora | 78c | 821.01$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.