Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f3bd80b991b095916031c80fd26d1a7aca9f362a79870ba52e7c74912b300b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $619,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $761,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $619,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 65,958$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,958.24 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 39,957$21,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,191.11 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora | 50c | 31,211$15,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,622.73 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 49c | 28,250$13,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,852.18 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 42c | 24,615$10,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,338.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 24,433$17,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,693.71 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Aurora | 45c | 22,854$10,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,372 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 60c | 20,567$12,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,333.89 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 15,970$12,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.19 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 13,580$7,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.85 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 62c | 12,889$7,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,990.94 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 48c | 12,517$5,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.29 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 11,955$6,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,576.26 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 11,545$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,440.06 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 59c | 10,352$6,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,107.96 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 10,294$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.2 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 45c | 10,142$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.15 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 10,014$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.5 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 57c | 9,978$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.45 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 9,870$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.59 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 57c | 8,921$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.01 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 8,770$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998.77 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 47c | 8,402$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.87 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 51c | 7,997$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 7,314$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.42 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 6,542$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.41 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked LGD Gaming | 46c | 6,481$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.41 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 6,126$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.25 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora | 46c | 5,357$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.89 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 31c | 4,951$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.25 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 4,240$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.04 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 4,054$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.22 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Aurora | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 3,607$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.43 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Aurora | 52c | 3,503$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.49 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 3,453$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.95 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Aurora | 64c | 3,333$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 64c | 3,009$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.07 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 2,905$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.59 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 2,685$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.71 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 2,649$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.58 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 62c | 2,575$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.5 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 41c | 2,287$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 2,134$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.43 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 37c | 2,130$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.07 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 2,061$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.79 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…e399backed Aurora | 50c | 2,008$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Aurora | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,981$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.91 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 1,912$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 1,845$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.16 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 38c | 1,841$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.73 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,750$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 57c | 1,727$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.6 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 1,716$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.06 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed LGD Gaming | 33c | 1,705$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.39 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,697$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.61 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ed…c1e5backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 1,695$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Aurora | 45c | 1,562$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.84 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,510$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 1,500$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.96 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed LGD Gaming | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Aurora | 50c | 1,487$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Aurora | 15c | 1,450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,435$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,429$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.67 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Aurora | 65c | 1,420$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.67 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 31c | 1,384$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.87 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 1,250$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 1,238$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.17 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 59c | 1,196$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.18 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 48c | 1,173$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.09 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 1,165$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.65 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.2 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Aurora | 43c | 1,160$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.74 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…ac68backed Aurora | 35c | 1,111$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 1,091$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.37 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 1,090$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.79 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 1,088$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 1,062$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.01 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 1,037$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.83 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Aurora | 56c | 1,018$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.93 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Aurora | 56c | 1,016$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Aurora | 60c | 1,002$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.08 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…9656backed Aurora | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Aurora | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 49c | 999.93$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 972.25$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.4 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Aurora | 65c | 949.58$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Aurora | 50c | 875.54$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.64 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked LGD Gaming | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…94dabacked Aurora | 45c | 850.12$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 847.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.39 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 839.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.58 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.