TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c25,310$18,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,601.177450%37 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes45c12,028$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,606.727044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c11,824$8,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,581.2181234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No76c10,892$8,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,278.1238649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c9,110$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,843.7195332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes75c9,105$6,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.467353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes24c8,941$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,754.8410253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No44c8,895$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,902.31,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes23c6,623$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100.032437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes27c6,134$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,489.471154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c5,624$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.386,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c5,013$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.794,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes61c3,599$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.472642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes74c3,474$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.3977236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No78c3,250$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yes29c3,084$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+143.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes30c2,907$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.957326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes28c2,705$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.443852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No77c2,500$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9255242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No77c2,100$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.4914162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Yes69c2,091$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.163250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No66c2,083$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.723253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No77c2,076$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.9690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Yes24c2,033$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.72231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x157c…dab2backed Yes34c2,030$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c1,780$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.9769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c1,688$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.972,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes24c1,688$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes40c1,678$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.8914975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8ebd…c5c8backed Yes29c1,675$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes25c1,633$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.542,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No45c1,372$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.4153344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c1,081$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.2455351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes28c1,073$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.322540%10 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78058446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+75.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes73c954.86$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.941952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c949.41$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.831,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No73c928.43$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.661735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c926.97$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4257150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No25c913.78$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes28c892.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.862339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes32c891.74$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.061163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes27c800$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58422125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes26c790$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.75129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes78c765.55$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.039235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Yes29c684.72$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No32c658.46$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.797129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes45c629.03$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.14259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No26c563.32$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9814658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes76c536.78$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.051181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcf7…6403backed Yes39c534.96$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c526.22$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.2319239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes66c509.57$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9413948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed No76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked No67c470$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752572%18 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes67c463.42$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c437.18$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2880853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes66c415.03$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.717050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No66c413.52$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9221250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes35c394.29$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.292119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes26c384.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8110950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65c4…2e13backed No67c373.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No13c371.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4554132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No78c365.76$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2918253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes77c348.68$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1111755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes66c341$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.356038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Yes69c336$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No26c314.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.585839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c300.72$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No15c300.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes44c295.47$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.472646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes69c289.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.742157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c280$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2108831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes73c274.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.536056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes22c270.13$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.745249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab77…be6abacked Yes68c269.61$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b1…e816backed Yes74c269.1$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes59c258.43$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.137062.9%44 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Yes78c255.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.173100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes79c255.08$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.575347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No70c247$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8220059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No21c239.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.373574.3%26 W · 9 L+11.0wins+0.31per pick43cpaid+105.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No50c233.08$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5319244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No36c230$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.17545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes25c220.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6710827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes27c219.48$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.222714.8%4 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-64.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3918748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No25c215$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.854411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Yes66c199.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No76c197.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes25c196.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.347248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0c4…989abacked Yes69c188.41$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes22c187.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4541850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.