TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$473,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No30c40,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,999.931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c31,169$17,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,981.476,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes59c23,380$13,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,879.294,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No27c22,718$6,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,575.3410253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes69c20,464$14,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,037.112437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No79c15,825$12,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.1738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c15,783$9,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,669.212,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes56c12,790$7,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,142.8176842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c10,684$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.71,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes47c10,640$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes50c10,100$5,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0505848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No69c9,472$6,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.9718958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Yes59c9,036$5,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,329.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes62c8,537$5,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3121154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes56c7,957$4,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.492152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No52c6,397$3,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.0515470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No74c5,574$4,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.762277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No61c5,359$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.537851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No55c5,070$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.414975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes24c5,040$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.589373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes48c4,969$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c4,850$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes24c4,791$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.938159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No69c4,329$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.97353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330f…d4b1backed Yes24c2,995$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes54c2,935$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.151,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes67c2,571$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.3818748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed No80c2,216$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.282268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Yes50c2,176$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.583745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No53c2,170$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.977162%44 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c2,138$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.562,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No80c2,106$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.2514162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes25c2,101$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.723253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes7c1,983$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8122644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes19c1,981$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.17044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes51c1,836$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.513855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c1,700$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No70c1,500$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4551163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c1,480$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.071,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes19c1,416$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.5425544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes57c1,404$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes21c1,173$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.334365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked No51c1,165$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+143.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes39c1,044$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4122744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes20c988.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.337427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes57c962.41$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.576446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes39c937.39$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No79c859.98$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked No47c850$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No80c817.4$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes29c805.74$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No26c799.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5928919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Yes7c782.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.79140%0 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes26c763.83$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.68375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No76c748.76$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.75862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes7c731.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+132.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes24c729.95$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.193145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Yes69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes17c718.53$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1228644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes17c677.21$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.577129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c665.51$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2188635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c663.8$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13669772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No56c630.33$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.354557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes43c612.61$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0713948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5019…f8b7backed Yes24c605.13$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2340%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes61c599.66$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes28c541.79$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9110579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x05c8…2223backed Yes52c530.37$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed No31c528.96$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.44254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked No62c515.08$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.088756.3%49 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes18c491$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.274411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+93.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No77c467.93$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No50c465.18$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6473258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Yes21c453.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.213043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Yes10c448.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.822055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c433.1$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2857150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No65c422$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0629250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c410.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No53c376.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.063158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes25c357.6$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.414055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes20c334.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…b9c0backed Yes62c330.35$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Yes9c327$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick10cpaid+204.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No54c311.7$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1518358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Yes51c307.19$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.883256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No80c304.93$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9930059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes7c303.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.716946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.