La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e33f08c20140f52345728b0b587678ac59b91dec4fc5b8d83c7267e29db724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 1,674$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.78 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 540.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.24 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 501.08$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.57 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 23c | 365.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 73c | 283$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 275.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 75c | 228.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 226$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 66c | 152.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 60c | 145.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…af5cbacked Yes | 48c | 141.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 59c | 127.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 23c | 85.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 82.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 64c | 78.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 77c | 64.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 59.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…2ebfbacked Yes | 63c | 55.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Yes | 52c | 53.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 62c | 37.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…e944backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f946backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 59c | 32.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 31.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 29.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-24?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.