La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc09331e25b4b237d86f461188a821056a5540fbeb5c6e91865e264d51cee3eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 9,676$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.95 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 57c | 7,107$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.95 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 1,219$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.08 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 952.31$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.28 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 80c | 894.59$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 75c | 819.12$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.78 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 74c | 810.35$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 78c | 696.96$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 39c | 595.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.43 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 417$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.6 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…1baebacked Yes | 55c | 252.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 77c | 216.61$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 21c | 187.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Yes | 61c | 164.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 156.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 67c | 152.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 57c | 141.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 129.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 77c | 124.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 120.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 14c | 115$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 20c | 108.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 58c | 86.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 46c | 85.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 21c | 73.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 20c | 61.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 36c | 58.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…2ebfbacked Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 69c | 56.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…0f3ebacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f946backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…5a8abacked Yes | 72c | 27.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 20.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-24?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.