Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd885b5b43a6f5e2f1bef848c2efbe27d6009d283bdde12f9c737f4f19c7b6e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $742,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $813,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $742,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 55c | 126,808$69,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,069.88 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 57c | 82,250$46,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,851.9 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 72,059$30,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,073.63 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 57c | 64,999$37,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,049.64 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 57c | 51,727$29,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,529.3 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 46,803$20,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,745.85 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 42,817$12,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,816.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 57c | 27,236$15,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,524.52 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 17,674$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 16,888$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,267.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…bd42backed Yes | 79c | 12,585$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.81 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 57c | 11,700$6,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.47 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 43c | 11,616$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,621.12 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 58c | 9,483$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,453.07 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 9,449$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,393.14 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 48c | 9,436$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.76 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 9,219$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 43c | 7,848$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.36 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Yes | 43c | 7,076$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 57c | 7,022$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.73 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 56c | 7,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.97 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 56c | 5,433$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.66 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 5,366$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.8 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 47c | 5,003$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 4,942$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.96 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 4,913$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.54 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 43c | 4,833$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.27 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Yes | 42c | 4,582$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.53 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.61 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.93 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 43c | 3,458$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.14 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 58c | 3,442$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.12 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 57c | 3,233$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.81 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 19c | 3,142$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.15 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 22c | 2,986$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.9 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 2,954$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.89 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 13c | 2,565$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,250$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Yes | 46c | 2,168$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…f34cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,866$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.91 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…e160backed Yes | 43c | 1,743$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 14c | 1,743$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.15 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…3a29backed Yes | 79c | 1,676$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.37 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 1,672$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.03 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2bf6backed Yes | 79c | 1,655$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,612$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.93 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Yes | 64c | 1,554$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 44c | 1,500$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.19 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 32c | 1,420$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Yes | 4c | 1,332$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.87 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 4cpaid | +703%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…b8d3backed Yes | 66c | 1,299$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.39 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,178$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.75 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 1,165$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.33 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 47c | 1,054$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.51 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,039$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.36 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 43c | 1,021$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.96 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 76c | 963.11$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…7f3cbacked No | 78c | 879.49$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 74c | 879.27$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.27 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 46c | 877.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.3 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 19c | 802$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.23 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 30c | 800$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 790.7$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.7 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed No | 51c | 778.95$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 777.91$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.72 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…da73backed Yes | 64c | 770.4$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 58c | 765.26$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.85 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 67c | 752.74$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.43 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…4ac7backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…8ff4backed Yes | 43c | 673.47$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 20c | 619$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.79 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 18c | 613.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 593.11$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.07 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 569.74$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 43c | 553.53$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.16 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 26c | 543$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.66 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 19c | 519$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.32 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 43c | 512$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006e…7c46backed Yes | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 34c | 509.97$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 37c | 501.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 43c | 499.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.75 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bee9backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Yes | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…edcabacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 42c | 399.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?No won
- Morocco leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.