CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf47b49326a7d45851d270de5a0289ccb1fd43dd76cc09a4d596a40b5bbf9d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked HOTU | 59c | 1,327$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.98 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Sashi Esport | 19c | 1,201$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.22 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed HOTU | 61c | 1,017$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.02 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU | 58c | 887.97$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.95 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed HOTU | 58c | 799.97$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU | 58c | 766.31$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.1 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked HOTU | 59c | 712.47$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.11 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed HOTU | 59c | 679.98$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 658$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 625.6$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 609.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 599.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Sashi Esport | 43c | 599.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU | 58c | 523.89$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 488.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Sashi Esport | 42c | 396.53$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.54 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Sashi Esport | 40c | 348.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 302.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 76c | 286.22$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 268.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed HOTU | 59c | 266.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 256.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 214.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 206.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed HOTU | 59c | 205.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 203.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked HOTU | 73c | 187.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 175.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 172.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked HOTU | 59c | 167$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Sashi Esport | 21c | 165.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HOTU | 73c | 161.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Sashi Esport | 34c | 159$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Sashi Esport | 42c | 142.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 73c | 138.59$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked HOTU | 58c | 136.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 119$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed HOTU | 57c | 116.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 104.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU | 60c | 104$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked HOTU | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed HOTU | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed HOTU | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed HOTU | 61c | 97.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sashi Esport | 39c | 94.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…e88cbacked Sashi Esport | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 83.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…b9bfbacked HOTU | 60c | 83.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539a…52dbbacked Sashi Esport | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Sashi Esport | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked HOTU | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 63.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 63.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Sashi Esport | 35c | 61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sashi Esport | 42c | 59.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked HOTU | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked HOTU | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 55.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked HOTU | 58c | 53.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed HOTU | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked HOTU | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1d…9d2cbacked Sashi Esport | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HOTU | 57c | 47.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Sashi Esport | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked HOTU | 58c | 43.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed HOTU | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked HOTU | 58c | 41.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed HOTU | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 37.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 34.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…789dbacked HOTU | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked HOTU | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed HOTU | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HOTU | 59c | 32.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…5753backed HOTU | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked HOTU | 40c | 26.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked HOTU | 57c | 25.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked HOTU | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed HOTU | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.