MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20839024259e9919d923680ede61a9c6da1962dd930727ba49d94373a6e5ab1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $652,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Athletics | 50c | 202,048$100,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,956.29 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 185,048$92,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,524.17 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 50c | 44,345$22,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,105.62 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 43,394$21,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,863.49 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Athletics | 5c | 41,828$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.41 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 26,985$14,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,952.91 | 988 | 49.9%493 W · 495 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Athletics | 51c | 19,799$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 49c | 14,933$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.09 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Athletics | 50c | 14,664$7,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,331.79 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Athletics | 48c | 13,333$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.84 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 10,700$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Athletics | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 252 | 45.6%115 W · 137 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Athletics | 49c | 10,133$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Athletics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 9,585$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.35 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 50c | 9,096$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 8,384$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.71 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 8,169$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.77 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Athletics | 5c | 6,461$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 6,080$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.91 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 5,914$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.93 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 0c | 5,856$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Athletics | 1c | 5,604$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,083 | 48.1%521 W · 562 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Athletics | 0c | 4,800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 55c | 4,443$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.86 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 50c | 4,293$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.63 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Athletics | 50c | 4,007$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.81 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…633cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 3,337$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Athletics | 49c | 3,239$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.06 | 904 | 53.5%484 W · 420 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…8cd5backed Athletics | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,797$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.57 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…44d5backed Athletics | 49c | 2,763$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,548$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.78 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 2,251$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.27 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 27c | 2,232$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.78 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 1c | 2,174$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 351 | 55.8%196 W · 155 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Athletics | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,986$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.94 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,774$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.4 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,764$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.15 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,590$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 718 | 53.3%383 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Athletics | 30c | 1,535$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.29 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.19 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…c3d1backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,466$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,447$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.28 | 929 | 46.1%428 W · 501 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,405$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.6 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…46a7backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,311$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,306$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653 | 525 | 47.4%249 W · 276 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,230$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.68 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Athletics | 49c | 1,230$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Athletics | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Athletics | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Athletics | 1c | 1,157$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…439cbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,131$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,102$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.21 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Athletics | 1c | 1,090$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…bf72backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,073$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 43c | 1,056$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.19 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…5eefbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Athletics | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 999.99$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.33 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Athletics | 50c | 964$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 35c | 952.42$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 891.24$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.71 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Athletics | 49c | 883$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.67 | 458 | 53.7%246 W · 212 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Athletics | 56c | 882.35$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.03 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 74c | 854.22$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Athletics | 50c | 760$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 754.96$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.07 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 728.35$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.18 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed Athletics | 3c | 675.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Athletics | 19c | 664.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Athletics | 25c | 651.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.18 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 629$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.28 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 42c | 557.49$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 528$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…73bbbacked Athletics | 4c | 519.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Athletics | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Athletics | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 495.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-7.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.