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MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$652,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$704,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Athletics50c202,048$100,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,956.2913340.6%54 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Seattle Mariners50c185,048$92,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,524.1723948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics50c44,345$22,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,105.624,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners50c43,394$21,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,863.492,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Athletics5c41,828$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.4121147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners52c26,985$14,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,952.9198849.9%493 W · 495 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Athletics51c19,799$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics49c14,933$7,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.091,69250.2%849 W · 843 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Athletics50c14,664$7,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,331.798053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Athletics48c13,333$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.8447953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Seattle Mariners52c10,700$5,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,13617953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Athletics49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025245.6%115 W · 137 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Athletics49c10,133$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00037953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Seattle Mariners50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00012457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Athletics50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00029649.7%147 W · 149 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners51c9,585$4,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,741.353,10748.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics50c9,096$4,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5481,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners51c8,384$4,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,071.7111,05451.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L+137.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners51c8,169$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.771,53751.2%787 W · 750 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Seattle Mariners50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5007353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Athletics5c6,461$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-30%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed Seattle Mariners49c6,080$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Seattle Mariners51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.912937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners50c5,914$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,950.933,54151%1,805 W · 1,736 L+53.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics0c5,856$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.438762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Athletics1c5,604$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8440629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Seattle Mariners51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,08348.1%521 W · 562 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Athletics0c4,800$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.62025%5 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics55c4,443$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.862,06439.2%810 W · 1,254 L-29.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics50c4,293$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.6339041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Athletics50c4,007$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.8128258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.982,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc089…633cbacked Seattle Mariners51c3,337$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.13955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Athletics49c3,239$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.0690453.5%484 W · 420 L+24.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Seattle Mariners43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71019053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c05…8cd5backed Athletics48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners52c2,797$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.572,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6305…44d5backed Athletics49c2,763$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners50c2,548$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.781,41548.9%692 W · 723 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners80c2,251$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.278,65452.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L+506.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics27c2,232$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.781,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics1c2,174$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.174754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Mariners50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00035155.8%196 W · 155 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Seattle Mariners51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98014647.3%69 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Athletics47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94025240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners57c1,986$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.9411,60652.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L+210.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Seattle Mariners51c1,774$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.411748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners51c1,764$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8691,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.151,92453.4%1,028 W · 896 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners50c1,590$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79571853.3%383 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Athletics30c1,535$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2918151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.1919950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba10…c3d1backed Seattle Mariners51c1,466$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Mariners50c1,447$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.2892946.1%428 W · 501 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Seattle Mariners50c1,405$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.617452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…46a7backed Seattle Mariners51c1,311$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners50c1,306$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65352547.4%249 W · 276 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Athletics49c1,230$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.6811948.7%58 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc233…0561backed Athletics49c1,230$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.662152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Athletics49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Athletics50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Athletics1c1,157$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65515.9%3 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+188.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Athletics7c1,143$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…439cbacked Seattle Mariners49c1,131$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.671464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners59c1,102$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.2112,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Athletics1c1,090$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.993929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa1…bf72backed Seattle Mariners49c1,073$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics43c1,056$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.192,15050.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52549358.8%290 W · 203 L+30.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Mariners50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019246.9%90 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Seattle Mariners50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Seattle Mariners49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb963…5eefbacked Seattle Mariners49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Athletics49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners51c999.99$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3355052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Athletics50c964$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics35c952.42$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.89,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Seattle Mariners51c891.24$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.713357.6%19 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Athletics49c883$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6745853.7%246 W · 212 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Athletics56c882.35$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.038862.5%55 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners74c854.22$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6779147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63fa…7ea4backed Athletics50c760$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Seattle Mariners50c754.96$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0751449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Seattle Mariners50c728.35$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.1859549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Seattle Mariners50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35020848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e4…72b4backed Athletics3c675.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.951717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Athletics19c664.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5633515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Athletics25c651.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1846239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners51c629$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.211,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics42c557.49$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.131,53059.4%909 W · 621 L+82.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners51c528$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.721,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf9…73bbbacked Athletics4c519.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.850%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc254…c435backed Athletics49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011044.5%49 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Athletics49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24538444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25095234.3%327 W · 625 L-1.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Seattle Mariners45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27538145.4%173 W · 208 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners50c495.61$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.813,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.