WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe06fb3f17d5b11c7137902c5e26e78cd6f1db2836d0ce62ea45a55759ecd500e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 6,957$3,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,774.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed New York Liberty | 46c | 2,709$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.18 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 2,591$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked New York Liberty | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed New York Liberty | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 1,872$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.62 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked New York Liberty | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 1,177$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.08 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed New York Liberty | 45c | 1,175$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed New York Liberty | 46c | 666.77$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 533.92$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.02 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Liberty | 45c | 531.77$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed New York Liberty | 47c | 466$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked New York Liberty | 43c | 462.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed New York Liberty | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked New York Liberty | 45c | 434.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked New York Liberty | 47c | 408$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked New York Liberty | 44c | 332.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 246.86$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 193.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 165$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed New York Liberty | 44c | 122.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…789dbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed New York Liberty | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed New York Liberty | 49c | 99.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 45c | 98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 92.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked New York Liberty | 39c | 90.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…a6f6backed New York Liberty | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 71.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Liberty | 48c | 65.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Liberty | 46c | 58.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed New York Liberty | 47c | 43.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…e8ffbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 39.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…3893backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 26.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed New York Liberty | 45c | 25.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…6547backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 24.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 23.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…6fbbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 18.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.