WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88bfdc95c1254ab96adb19fbdcad3d722a492d4789c26cd13f0d7eb62470fc13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 4,411$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.6 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 4,076$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.47 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 7c | 2,232$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 60c | 1,725$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.96 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 1,402$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.13 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 39c | 1,217$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.6 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 1,123$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 64c | 739.13$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.04 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 64c | 452$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 60c | 434.13$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 388.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…9fdebacked Over | 47c | 264.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 106.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 45c | 93.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Under | 50c | 84.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 70.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…50d8backed Over | 53c | 30.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Under | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.