WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8918c4cdfac6798236ed610e0ab13c3042de720d68e4eb51644359c9025350b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 6,864$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.7 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 65c | 3,396$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.46 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 52c | 3,126$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.23 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 42c | 3,012$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.97 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 2,524$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.23 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 34c | 1,991$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.07 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 1,797$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.59 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 62c | 1,292$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 35c | 1,110$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.49 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 57c | 991.95$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.41 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 37c | 934.21$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.48 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Under | 72c | 855.82$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 809.07$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.56 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 698.83$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.11 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 689.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 56c | 455.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.65 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Under | 48c | 423.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 52c | 422.32$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.72 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 52c | 419.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 51c | 271.07$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 59c | 261$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Under | 51c | 203.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 44c | 189.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 181.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 57c | 156.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 64c | 116.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 55c | 114.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 22c | 98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 58c | 92.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 83.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 42c | 59.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b09…7dd1backed Under | 75c | 57.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 53.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…9f08backed Under | 62c | 48.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 64c | 46.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 80c | 45.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Under | 49c | 40.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…427abacked Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Under | 39c | 37.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 37c | 35.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over | 48c | 22.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 80c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.