WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4943f5080c5580e76d2cceadf2ae22959be8e5620a9037d3998ee9e7de1a8266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 11,902$5,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.85 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 6,260$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.88 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 4,864$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.26 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 50c | 2,956$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.17 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 56c | 2,329$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.1 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 42c | 1,969$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.28 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 1,948$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.33 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 1,884$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 45c | 1,371$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 1,344$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.41 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 1,309$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.25 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 1,230$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.82 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 61c | 1,112$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.98 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 50c | 1,058$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 901.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 50c | 890$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 720.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 61c | 694.99$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.13 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 588.28$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.14 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 52c | 573.18$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.05 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 48c | 538.48$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.01 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229b…331fbacked Under | 33c | 499.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 481.94$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 62c | 380.31$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.12 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 47c | 374.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed Under | 51c | 317.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Under | 57c | 304.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 65c | 300.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 62c | 268.58$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 64c | 232.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 49c | 207.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 28c | 206$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 43c | 201.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 46c | 196.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 196.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 195.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 73c | 177.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 174.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Under | 51c | 117.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 110.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 20c | 110.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 54c | 102.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Under | 58c | 86.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 53c | 75.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 61c | 75.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Over | 48c | 63.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 49c | 58.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 44c | 53.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Under | 56c | 53.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 50.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 44.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Over | 58c | 37.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 43c | 37.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Under | 58c | 34.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Over | 62c | 32.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 61c | 32.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…d6debacked Over | 56c | 30.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 59c | 27.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…77b5backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 53c | 24.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…d1cabacked Over | 62c | 21.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…5111backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.