WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x756dd4db2c3071892c0f60158e555eaa7271455c3db174417ed77233c5b4eb42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Phoenix Mercury, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Liberty | 60c | 12,072$7,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 10,782$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.96 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 10,017$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 0c | 8,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Liberty | 69c | 7,196$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 6,322$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.35 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 5,958$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.51 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 5,262$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.54 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 3,831$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.03 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 3,743$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty | 63c | 3,581$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.15 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed New York Liberty | 66c | 3,211$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Liberty | 64c | 3,169$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.93 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked New York Liberty | 66c | 3,162$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 3,091$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.98 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed New York Liberty | 65c | 2,918$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.3 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed New York Liberty | 75c | 2,853$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…e073backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 2,491$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Liberty | 63c | 2,466$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.9 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 2,376$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.95 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 2,375$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed New York Liberty | 60c | 2,264$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.68 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 2,113$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.92 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 2,041$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed New York Liberty | 67c | 1,988$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.47 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Phoenix Mercury | 5c | 1,732$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 8c | 1,704$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5506backed New York Liberty | 66c | 1,685$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked New York Liberty | 58c | 1,585$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.83 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 1,583$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.82 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed New York Liberty | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed New York Liberty | 45c | 1,549$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked New York Liberty | 65c | 1,490$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.48 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Liberty | 72c | 1,398$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.08 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 1,338$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed New York Liberty | 65c | 1,325$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…7e3dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 8c | 1,315$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 1,296$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 1,205$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.99 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 1,186$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.09 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Liberty | 62c | 1,103$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.3 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 1,097$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.19 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 1,065$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.67 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 1,039$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.32 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed New York Liberty | 63c | 1,000$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed New York Liberty | 66c | 1,000$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 1,000$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Liberty | 63c | 999.96$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked New York Liberty | 70c | 993.95$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 969.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 945.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 943.15$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 942.24$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed New York Liberty | 66c | 925.46$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty | 64c | 827.94$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.47 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed New York Liberty | 66c | 820$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 800$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.74 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed New York Liberty | 63c | 750.8$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 742$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.22 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Liberty | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Liberty | 63c | 605$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed New York Liberty | 65c | 604$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.39 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 64c | 601.01$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed New York Liberty | 67c | 525.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed New York Liberty | 67c | 487.66$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed New York Liberty | 63c | 478.12$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked New York Liberty | 63c | 476$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 464.44$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Liberty | 43c | 457$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 449.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…7d47backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 440.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…15e1backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 430$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked New York Liberty | 72c | 417.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked New York Liberty | 67c | 399.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…7d39backed New York Liberty | 63c | 382.64$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty | 65c | 380.92$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 363.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…a2ccbacked New York Liberty | 66c | 359.6$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Liberty | 61c | 348.68$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…5e72backed New York Liberty | 58c | 347.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 325.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b1ccbacked New York Liberty | 63c | 316.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked New York Liberty | 39c | 308.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed New York Liberty | 65c | 305$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked New York Liberty | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed New York Liberty | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Liberty | 63c | 297.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 294.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…3893backed Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 288.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 279.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked New York Liberty | 67c | 278.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 252.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked New York Liberty | 40c | 245.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked New York Liberty | 41c | 244.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 231.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…f276backed New York Liberty | 62c | 225.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Liberty | 58c | 220.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked New York Liberty | 66c | 201.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertythis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.