TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof Sharks, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$450,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked NIP67c128,186$85,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,786.9214050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NIP66c50,927$33,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,426.6972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Sharks33c46,066$15,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,201.643046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Sharks34c38,281$12,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,865.5141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP65c35,060$22,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,339.3336453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Sharks33c28,344$9,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,490.192462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked NIP67c21,551$14,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,137.23053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Sharks34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,80021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Sharks33c18,668$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,159.6514051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed NIP66c13,485$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,584.8533359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Sharks28c11,140$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.1963157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed Sharks44c9,659$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.9710359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sharks34c9,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked NIP66c8,729$5,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.8836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed NIP66c7,796$5,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.1312660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Sharks33c7,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.9684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sharks34c7,042$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.25,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Sharks33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sharks43c5,533$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.6959839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Sharks33c5,528$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.663541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sharks34c5,200$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sharks27c4,336$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.73,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Sharks28c4,291$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.591,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked NIP67c4,180$2,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.44870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sharks7c4,141$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.662,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Sharks34c4,070$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.6460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks2c3,851$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.411,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked NIP66c3,793$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.659248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked Sharks34c3,329$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.825952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed NIP66c3,259$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.5136450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Sharks14c3,220$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1829127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5667…8ca3backed NIP73c3,055$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.32454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked NIP67c3,013$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.0427552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Sharks34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0204542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sharks34c3,000$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.941,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Sharks33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sharks34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed Sharks33c2,800$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9323237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Sharks33c2,727$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Sharks23c2,630$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.1948437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks20c2,554$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5082,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Sharks34c2,472$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.6118547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Sharks34c2,429$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82623952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks23c2,399$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.486,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sharks34c2,200$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7481,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Sharks34c2,128$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.524235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Sharks15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Sharks33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.975251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sharks31c1,974$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.992,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked NIP68c1,925$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.9111949.6%59 W · 60 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked Sharks31c1,856$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.412143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Sharks35c1,777$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6225442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Sharks29c1,730$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.0528943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed Sharks21c1,726$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3511937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Sharks23c1,688$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.954,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Sharks9c1,663$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.974926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed NIP62c1,614$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.654568.9%31 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Sharks33c1,551$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.9812552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked NIP67c1,531$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.235567.3%37 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed NIP66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1522750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Sharks33c1,384$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.7221545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked Sharks47c1,281$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Sharks37c1,265$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6324339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Sharks35c1,250$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.512638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked NIP66c1,205$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3446165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Sharks33c1,163$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.77944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa57…2ec9backed Sharks11c1,131$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.53531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0115…2552backed NIP79c1,058$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Sharks33c1,027$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.915837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Sharks34c1,020$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8629839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Sharks34c1,020$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.867139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Sharks35c1,019$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1510635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sharks28c1,000$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.433,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Sharks20c1,000$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9243640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Sharks34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Sharks34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks28c999.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.574,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Sharks34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34016447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Sharks33c980.29$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.58540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Sharks37c962.29$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.438051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed NIP68c961.37$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3752456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Sharks36c940$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.45444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked Sharks34c921.23$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.223461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Sharks27c890$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.920732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Sharks34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Sharks34c879.16$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.032,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Sharks34c854.7$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.69146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sharks33c848.76$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8980942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Sharks34c841.18$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28617948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Sharks34c831.5$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7164854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed NIP67c810$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.338052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sharks30c800$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.472,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Sharks28c787.1$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.068324.1%20 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac23…9064backed Sharks27c773.76$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-78.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Sharks34c750$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510352.4%54 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Sharks5c750$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.25714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa5…7059backed NIP67c746.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.421861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed NIP67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2720958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed NIP67c746.26$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2729455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.