CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98da1800b68a2b1169fe815cbfda0f63767f9f5b57fe74c7af0bec9803c2e5da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked NIP | 43c | 20,026$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,375.8 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Sharks | 54c | 11,500$6,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204.96 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Sharks | 62c | 6,500$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 49c | 3,466$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked NIP | 46c | 2,094$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.27 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Sharks | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed NIP | 39c | 1,542$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.92 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sharks | 53c | 1,258$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed NIP | 44c | 1,230$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.02 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked NIP | 43c | 1,167$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.93 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks | 53c | 1,124$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.74 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed NIP | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sharks | 57c | 839.83$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.54 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sharks | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed NIP | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Sharks | 63c | 750$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Sharks | 58c | 657.99$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.19 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked NIP | 40c | 568.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.57 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked NIP | 64c | 522.38$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…d27cbacked Sharks | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked NIP | 43c | 455.81$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.81 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked NIP | 48c | 408.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed NIP | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sharks | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sharks | 58c | 314.29$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sharks | 64c | 313.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Sharks | 58c | 306.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed NIP | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked NIP | 36c | 299.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Sharks | 57c | 282$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…887ebacked NIP | 40c | 248.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sharks | 62c | 220.38$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Sharks | 62c | 214.52$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed NIP | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Sharks | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed NIP | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed NIP | 44c | 143.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Sharks | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Sharks | 73c | 137.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed NIP | 48c | 108.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sharks | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed NIP | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NIP | 43c | 90.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Sharks | 55c | 86.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NIP | 34c | 86.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Sharks | 56c | 79.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Sharks | 55c | 76.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Sharks | 60c | 74.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked NIP | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Sharks | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed NIP | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Sharks | 55c | 59.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a9…dc10backed Sharks | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Sharks | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Sharks | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked NIP | 40c | 37.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Sharks | 54c | 33.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Sharks | 60c | 31.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed NIP | 45c | 30.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked NIP | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…fdf3backed Sharks | 65c | 27.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Sharks | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sharks | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…739abacked NIP | 62c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Sharks | 55c | 19.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Sharks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Sharks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.