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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof Sharks, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87da…53d1backed NIP60c12,535$7,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,032.3439346.8%184 W · 209 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Sharks32c12,300$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,980.364356.9%366 W · 277 L+40.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Sharks39c5,809$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.259443.6%41 W · 53 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sharks43c3,039$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.6260639.9%242 W · 364 L-14.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked NIP61c2,960$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.41,04252.5%547 W · 495 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Sharks53c2,500$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.887454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks45c2,085$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.046,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sharks41c1,839$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.53,25651.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L+89.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked NIP49c1,637$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.9120935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Sharks48c1,561$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75023449.1%115 W · 119 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sharks43c1,536$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.262,70747.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L-30.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP52c1,533$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.154,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sharks62c1,508$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.471,80259.3%1,069 W · 733 L+107.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Sharks34c1,452$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed NIP51c1,436$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.8534146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks31c1,432$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.084,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sharks39c1,293$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.382,69130.7%826 W · 1,865 L-110.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed NIP68c1,180$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.1911843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked NIP64c1,036$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3735460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked NIP50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Sharks42c949.02$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.964,81743.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L-90.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed NIP46c925.93$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50010556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Sharks54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked NIP34c892.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.1840247.8%192 W · 210 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Sharks43c881.86$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.523,31945.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L-87.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Sharks45c878.62$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3310748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Sharks40c857.08$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8317148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed NIP45c839.5$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7314763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed NIP73c833.21$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0555843.2%241 W · 317 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed NIP61c810.52$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.111243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Sharks35c775.65$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8735953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Sharks30c706.18$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.641716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed NIP52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28832346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Sharks49c590$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.632,60652.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L+96.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NIP51c582$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.752,47244.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L-68.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP35c568.68$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9162534.9%218 W · 407 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Sharks50c542.7$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.641,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks52c521.7$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.348,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Sharks57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28546058.7%270 W · 190 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed NIP60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked NIP60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sharks40c461.57$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.241,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca3…f975backed Sharks40c431.35$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.541136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked NIP59c409.1$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0316344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0938…4e4cbacked Sharks51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked NIP61c380$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.489757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed NIP33c351$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.178140.7%33 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffd…d27cbacked NIP63c330$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.12055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Sharks33c304.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed NIP55c278.68$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.928961.2%177 W · 112 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Sharks53c254.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13666250.3%333 W · 329 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Sharks42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,28922%283 W · 1,006 L-25.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Sharks39c250$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3877747.7%371 W · 406 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Sharks53c250$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.536648.9%179 W · 187 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Sharks50c249.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6417454%94 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Sharks41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed NIP64c234.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.550050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Sharks45c226.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10247447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Sharks45c220.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3391743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed NIP47c212.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.375151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Sharks48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9656738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked Sharks48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966933.3%23 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked NIP52c189.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8153034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Sharks41c188.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Sharks16c186$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.763151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed NIP60c179.88$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9526651.1%136 W · 130 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sharks48c168$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.013,99436.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L-207.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Sharks60c167.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe38…3a3dbacked Sharks53c154.91$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Sharks44c143.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.137453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed NIP71c140.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1453850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Sharks48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.247941.5%199 W · 280 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NIP56c140$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.322,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Sharks50c135$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.535848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed NIP74c134.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NIP61c130.2$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.772,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Sharks39c128.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1642538.6%164 W · 261 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Sharks53c128.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6838449.2%189 W · 195 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked NIP50c119.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.018949.4%44 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Sharks34c116.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.543036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9be8…ed26backed NIP51c106.77$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.534100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed NIP62c104.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.942757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Sharks47c102.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Sharks50c100.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2532832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Sharks44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422454.5%122 W · 102 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed NIP49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.291,50457.9%871 W · 633 L+65.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NIP56c99.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.12,58534.6%894 W · 1,691 L-200.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffcf…fd3ebacked Sharks51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Sharks69c97.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3738559.5%229 W · 156 L+1.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Sharks43c93.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015244.7%68 W · 84 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked NIP61c85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1515455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Sharks37c79.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4337441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed NIP61c74.92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5311949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Sharks52c67.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550067%335 W · 165 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sharks46c65.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.145,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00b8…0418backed Sharks47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Sharks58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.826743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked NIP53c56.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7527947.3%132 W · 147 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks47c56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.362,81637.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L-138.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed NIP51c50.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9921360.1%128 W · 85 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.