CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf00949adc7cc564b3d3d95e14aeaaa8546aa821eff29fe3d0ef313f6f48af15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed G2 Ares | 43c | 899.98$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Atreides | 58c | 577.79$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 45c | 508.12$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Atreides | 57c | 344.89$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…f178backed Atreides | 58c | 338.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed G2 Ares | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…6ca6backed G2 Ares | 69c | 284.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 269.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 51c | 250.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Atreides | 45c | 245.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked G2 Ares | 25c | 210.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…a455backed Atreides | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Atreides | 57c | 198.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed G2 Ares | 41c | 195.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Atreides | 37c | 184.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Atreides | 55c | 183.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Atreides | 58c | 167.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Atreides | 58c | 150.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Atreides | 36c | 149.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 65c | 139.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd9…07edbacked G2 Ares | 12c | 135.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 55c | 125.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed G2 Ares | 42c | 121$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Atreides | 57c | 119.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…36cfbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 109.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked Atreides | 46c | 103.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c12fbacked Atreides | 66c | 101.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Atreides | 58c | 100.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed G2 Ares | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Atreides | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Atreides | 39c | 93.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares | 65c | 87.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…646dbacked Atreides | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…03bdbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 50c | 81.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…25e8backed Atreides | 39c | 77.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Ares | 42c | 75.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Atreides | 34c | 73.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…8e72backed G2 Ares | 61c | 65.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed G2 Ares | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…caf8backed Atreides | 43c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Atreides | 79c | 57.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked G2 Ares | 44c | 56.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2004…cb6fbacked Atreides | 54c | 55.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Atreides | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Atreides | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…5a21backed Atreides | 34c | 44.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 43.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed G2 Ares | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…17b9backed G2 Ares | 62c | 40.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked G2 Ares | 67c | 31.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked G2 Ares | 74c | 31.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked G2 Ares | 65c | 30.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 Ares | 43c | 30.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Atreides | 53c | 25.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed G2 Ares | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 22.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed G2 Ares | 53c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…7031backed G2 Ares | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.