Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06168d04fe32d3bc8da8f95b81eff5e22b82e38a65c3e37f64927063cd4412df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Xtreme Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 48c | 11,157$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,753.52 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 10,544$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.03 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 10,301$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.63 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 7,566$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.33 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 5,150$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed MOUZ | 47c | 5,012$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.26 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 4,292$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 27c | 4,087$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.24 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 3,968$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.46 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed MOUZ | 48c | 3,866$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked MOUZ | 49c | 3,400$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 3,238$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 44c | 3,127$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.06 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 2,512$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.03 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,318$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.53 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,191$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.12 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed MOUZ | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,975$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.75 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,937$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.7 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,471$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,428$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.48 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,355$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.53 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,318$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.57 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,237$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.58 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,014$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 48c | 915.28$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.13 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ | 47c | 858.11$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.81 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed MOUZ | 57c | 800$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 764.88$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.09 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 762$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 612.83$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…a9cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 576.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 514.65$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed MOUZ | 62c | 485$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.49 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 403.91$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 373$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…4279backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 331.79$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 319$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 298$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed MOUZ | 41c | 292.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.06 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked MOUZ | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 47c | 282.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 262.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 258.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 249.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked MOUZ | 50c | 242.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…63bcbacked MOUZ | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1715backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 225.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked MOUZ | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 198.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…444fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 177.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 176.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed MOUZ | 35c | 162.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked MOUZ | 43c | 157.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed MOUZ | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 122$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 118.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…c823backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 118.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…a7c6backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 106.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed MOUZ | 73c | 105.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed MOUZ | 48c | 104.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed MOUZ | 45c | 103.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…d454backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked MOUZ | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 94.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 90.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked MOUZ | 49c | 86.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked MOUZ | 38c | 86.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed MOUZ | 45c | 82.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 80.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed MOUZ | 52c | 77.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…8c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 76.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked MOUZ | 27c | 68.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…9a02backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed MOUZ | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…3612backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…933fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 47.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…cd4cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 37.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…75e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 30.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed MOUZ | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.