UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06814ebb7f5f15be4c45be48637fd32f70a3a3e0c7c854a672cf126736799053

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ramazan Temirovof Ramazan Temirov, Steve Erceg
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $255,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $289,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,793 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	40,927$20,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,054.47	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steve Erceg	48c	18,830$9,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,126.49	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Steve Erceg	49c	16,927$8,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,288.37	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	13,344$6,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,538.76	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d47…d0a2backed Steve Erceg	49c	12,997$6,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,368.71	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Ramazan Temirov	52c	11,000$5,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,280	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-7.1wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Ramazan Temirov	50c	10,490$5,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,245.11	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Steve Erceg	49c	10,398$5,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,094.83	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Ramazan Temirov	50c	8,710$4,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,329.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	37cpaid	+105.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Ramazan Temirov	54c	8,591$4,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,953.61	157	36.9%58 W · 99 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Steve Erceg	50c	8,352$4,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,186.48	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc38…3c4cbacked Steve Erceg	49c	7,920$3,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,861	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Steve Erceg	51c	7,500$3,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,825	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a05…687cbacked Steve Erceg	51c	5,882$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Steve Erceg	50c	5,356$2,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,678.13	138	36.2%50 W · 88 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ramazan Temirov	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.98	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Steve Erceg	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.96	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Steve Erceg	49c	4,890$2,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,396.04	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Steve Erceg	49c	4,708$2,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,306.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Steve Erceg	46c	4,348$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	4,292$2,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,103.24	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…a656backed Steve Erceg	54c	3,979$2,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,145.51	55	69.1%38 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c85…9634backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.57	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…8008backed Ramazan Temirov	52c	3,533$1,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.84	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ramazan Temirov	50c	3,480$1,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750.42	171	50.9%87 W · 84 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Steve Erceg	48c	3,285$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.76	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…c5d7backed Ramazan Temirov	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Steve Erceg	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.98	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a92…3c67backed Steve Erceg	50c	2,762$1,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.76	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Steve Erceg	50c	2,710$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,355	91	64.8%59 W · 32 L	+8.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43e0…8618backed Steve Erceg	40c	2,682$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.73	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Steve Erceg	49c	2,376$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.45	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	2,353$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.94	161	58.4%94 W · 67 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Steve Erceg	50c	2,137$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068.55	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Steve Erceg	3c	2,047$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.52	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Steve Erceg	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed Steve Erceg	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Steve Erceg	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.99	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.98	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67b…d35ebacked Ramazan Temirov	50c	1,916$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$958	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b6…af24backed Ramazan Temirov	52c	1,904$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.09	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2256…0386backed Steve Erceg	50c	1,892$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.21	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Steve Erceg	49c	1,828$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.53	132	44.7%59 W · 73 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…b9f5backed Ramazan Temirov	52c	1,823$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.88	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	1,765$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.71	145	60%87 W · 58 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Ramazan Temirov	64c	1,551$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.99	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	1,524$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.53	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Steve Erceg	4c	1,500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	159	33.3%53 W · 106 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Ramazan Temirov	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Steve Erceg	55c	1,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.98	540	56.7%306 W · 234 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Ramazan Temirov	45c	1,474$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.36	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	1,267$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.07	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Steve Erceg	50c	1,248$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.19	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Steve Erceg	54c	1,237$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Steve Erceg	51c	1,176$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	1,175$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.51	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a63…5dcebacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	1,143$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.95	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c2…b18dbacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	1,122$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.57	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	1,069$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519	178	41.6%74 W · 104 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Ramazan Temirov	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed Steve Erceg	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Steve Erceg	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Steve Erceg	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Steve Erceg	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	357	64.7%231 W · 126 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Ramazan Temirov	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…fcf8backed Steve Erceg	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd349…63f8backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	981$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.69	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f9…5c3dbacked Ramazan Temirov	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.19per pick	58cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9d4…f843backed Ramazan Temirov	50c	950.56$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.57	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Ramazan Temirov	50c	936.48$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.24	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Ramazan Temirov	48c	885.71$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.6	203	48.3%98 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Ramazan Temirov	52c	812.3$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.9	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	808.72$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.72	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Ramazan Temirov	68c	792$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.11	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	128	33.6%43 W · 85 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ad…044fbacked Ramazan Temirov	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	10	100%10 W · 0 L	+3.2wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c05…2918backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	767.16$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.16	85	64.7%55 W · 30 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Steve Erceg	49c	760.83$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.81	98	48%47 W · 51 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4d…bb01backed Ramazan Temirov	42c	757.27$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.79	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+140%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…3300backed Ramazan Temirov	41c	683.55$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.29	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Steve Erceg	41c	670.91$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.8	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	670.86$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.65	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-4.8wins	-0.28per pick	58cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9f66…3a50backed Steve Erceg	50c	666$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	615.06$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.38	155	49%76 W · 79 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Ramazan Temirov	52c	605.15$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.44	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99b1…196abacked Steve Erceg	60c	600$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.77	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	542.2$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.68	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe360…71fabacked Steve Erceg	48c	507.52$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Steve Erceg	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	127	55.1%70 W · 57 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ef…90e2backed Steve Erceg	60c	496.12$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+26%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf334…bdefbacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	490.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.2	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6d…d67bbacked Ramazan Temirov	51c	490.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.2	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Steve Erceg	49c	489.8$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed Ramazan Temirov	54c	489.74$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.14	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	70cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Ramazan Temirov	51c	450$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.5	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Steve Erceg	39c	447.98$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.67	265	52.1%138 W · 127 L	+23.9wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Steve Erceg	49c	440$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.6	160	58.8%94 W · 66 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Ramazan Temirov win by KO or TKO?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event