Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bdc1e70c8f73b5bb07fdf1351a81ab54654b7d6b72f9128506212fca26676a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Volunteersof Tennessee Volunteers, Miami (OH) RedHawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,668 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 19,482$9,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,935.87 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 15,297$7,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,801.4 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 15,256$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,930.11 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 10,118$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 6,792$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.83 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 4,990$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.15 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 4,461$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.56 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 3,773$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.2 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 2,096$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.56 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 2,003$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.57 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.1 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.19 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 857.82$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.07 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 817.79$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 811.77$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.12 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 57c | 716.61$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.47 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 525.37$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 495.63$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…7e69backed Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 396.5$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 291.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 288.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 285.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 248.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 222.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…a00bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 210.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 194.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 145.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 143.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 124.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 123.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 101.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…7b83backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 85.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 82.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 74.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 62.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 62.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb9…92d7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 61.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 61.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 51.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4af4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…f190backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tennessee Volunteers | 64c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-12.5)this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee VolunteersTennessee Volunteers won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-20.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-21.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.