Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18107296c4b6b1016bbfedba0ea1832a3fca9fd28b3a5f0b4d5394c715e3b51a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,063 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,669$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Under | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Over | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 49c | 470.59$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 51c | 272.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 49c | 199.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…c4f2backed Over | 51c | 141.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 122.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…079fbacked Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 73.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 51c | 49.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…e6d5backed Over | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 48.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Under | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 50c | 31.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 26.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208b…237ebacked Under | 49c | 26.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed Over | 51c | 23.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…9713backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 50c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 148.5this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee VolunteersTennessee Volunteers won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-12.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-20.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-21.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.