Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c77727b8239d617a3e2a14e0a2ed92f1c4e9e48b47d76c6c77a9f356e6616e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,932 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 20,006$9,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,343.01 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.98 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 49c | 7,147$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Under | 53c | 3,777$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.38 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 3,469$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.69 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…3c7bbacked Under | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 48c | 1,807$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.22 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 47c | 1,508$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.08 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 23c | 1,438$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.78 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 1,381$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.82 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…97a2backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 48c | 991.26$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 988.34$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Under | 51c | 751.73$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.35 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 51c | 726.11$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.79 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 662.61$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Over | 48c | 650.52$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 48c | 619.54$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 525.38$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.93 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 431.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 417.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.31 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 40c | 393.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 47c | 392.16$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 52c | 295.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 286.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 77c | 269.03$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 50c | 248.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…cf2dbacked Under | 52c | 212.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…00eebacked Over | 49c | 196.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…2b1abacked Under | 52c | 184.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8f…99e1backed Over | 49c | 181.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 47c | 175$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…3095backed Over | 49c | 173.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…cb52backed Under | 52c | 161.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…e9fdbacked Over | 49c | 150.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Over | 65c | 148.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…4af0backed Under | 52c | 141.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 48c | 138.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 54c | 118.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 69c | 118.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 59c | 114.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 89.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Over | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 81.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 53c | 72.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 71.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…3615backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Over | 63c | 59.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 48c | 42.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 52c | 42.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 41.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Over | 49c | 38.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 33c | 35.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…ace8backed Over | 48c | 32.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 29.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 49c | 28.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Over | 49c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under | 51c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2187…689abacked Over | 47c | 23.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…9954backed Over | 54c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…4d8dbacked Under | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee VolunteersTennessee Volunteers won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-12.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-20.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-21.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.