Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1663edea3eba0d1ae8f064276dd426cb0497a19bb5188dae48a2f8fa8ea34da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,079,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,970,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,079,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 76c | 251,406$190,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,852.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 79c | 240,234$189,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,963.68 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 50c | 148,051$73,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,433.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 57c | 138,529$78,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,543.32 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 53c | 135,347$71,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,448.74 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…d1b0backed Yes | 52c | 112,136$58,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,937.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc055…1299backed No | 48c | 112,136$53,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,937.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 8c | 110,026$8,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,448.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +239.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 39c | 104,463$41,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,324.59 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 16c | 103,322$16,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,581.06 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…e030backed Yes | 64c | 92,471$58,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,590.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 18c | 91,705$16,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,187.91 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked No | 74c | 84,314$62,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,604.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 39c | 72,070$27,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,197.25 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 12c | 72,049$8,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,908.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed No | 48c | 65,416$31,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,213.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 58c | 56,551$32,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,872.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 67c | 55,604$37,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,404.8 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…6475backed Yes | 67c | 53,236$35,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,440.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 76c | 52,821$40,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,534.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 56c | 52,724$29,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,044.48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 52c | 47,198$24,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,460.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed No | 49c | 45,896$22,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,410.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 44c | 43,938$19,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,364.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…cf0fbacked No | 36c | 42,368$15,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,355.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 22c | 39,851$8,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,608.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 55c | 34,835$19,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,004.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 72c | 33,535$24,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,139.19 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 41c | 32,568$13,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,201.71 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 42c | 29,671$12,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,575.52 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 29,399$13,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,710.71 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 27c | 29,125$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,210.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 47c | 28,614$13,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,030.73 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 65c | 28,596$18,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,057.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 68c | 28,210$19,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,890.48 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…3b76backed No | 26c | 28,141$7,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,447.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 19c | 27,551$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3593…7314backed Yes | 45c | 27,470$12,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,241.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 65c | 27,449$17,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,968.53 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 18c | 26,985$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,234.58 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 20c | 26,286$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.62 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 59c | 26,035$15,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,665.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 55c | 25,889$14,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,546.21 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 70c | 25,774$18,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,149.51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed No | 37c | 25,315$9,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,258.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 4c | 25,066$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.41 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…7ebbbacked Yes | 44c | 24,691$10,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,728.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…5230backed No | 0c | 23,855$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 59c | 23,749$13,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,828.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 25c | 23,200$5,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,905.69 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdf…19ccbacked No | 49c | 23,106$11,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,395.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 52c | 22,549$11,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,873.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +65%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…d4a0backed Yes | 52c | 22,343$11,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,619.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 63c | 22,206$13,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,269.76 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 33c | 21,343$7,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,234.24 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 47c | 21,250$9,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,343.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 23c | 20,814$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 62c | 20,408$12,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +191.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed No | 0c | 20,388$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 78c | 20,369$15,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…2a27backed Yes | 71c | 20,188$14,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 39c | 20,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 20c | 19,929$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.67 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 15c | 19,108$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.33 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…7f92backed Yes | 74c | 18,575$13,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 57c | 18,225$10,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,867.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…6138backed No | 35c | 17,679$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 65c | 16,922$11,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,043.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3c…9218backed No | 49c | 16,148$7,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,990.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…40d4backed No | 31c | 15,210$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 42c | 14,582$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,487.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked No | 38c | 14,572$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 17c | 14,505$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,994.19 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 22c | 14,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,940 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a5…f001backed No | 4c | 13,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 79c | 13,398$10,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,573.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked No | 43c | 13,218$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Yes | 62c | 13,128$8,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 76c | 13,032$9,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,870.12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 76c | 12,965$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked No | 28c | 12,748$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed No | 42c | 12,731$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 26c | 12,728$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…3d20backed Yes | 66c | 12,591$8,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed No | 37c | 12,284$4,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed No | 65c | 12,000$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked No | 23c | 11,980$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 74c | 11,949$8,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Yes | 40c | 11,942$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,112.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 59c | 11,679$6,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.27 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…ea00backed No | 35c | 11,204$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 23c | 11,127$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.78 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 28c | 11,017$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 1c | 10,700$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…50e6backed No | 31c | 10,684$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…d7a7backed No | 28c | 10,630$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 44c | 10,621$4,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.56 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed No | 44c | 10,519$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.81 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 45c | 10,471$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.28 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 61c | 10,007$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.