CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e86f4cefb1811bae82ac897223f80329e91d984017d9d364fb64b311cd3d962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 59c | 382.54$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked Yes | 53c | 352.76$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed No | 40c | 320.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 54c | 288.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…ed9fbacked No | 29c | 200.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…a00bbacked Yes | 77c | 200.25$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked No | 45c | 193.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes | 56c | 158.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…3b25backed Yes | 72c | 157.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…f0b0backed Yes | 42c | 153.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…f946backed No | 28c | 151.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea23…ae6fbacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…562ebacked Yes | 63c | 129.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 22c | 124.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 23c | 119.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…1c72backed No | 54c | 110.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed No | 26c | 110.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…1880backed Yes | 54c | 103.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…456fbacked Yes | 75c | 103.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 125 | 68.8%86 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed No | 45c | 91.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…e060backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…94e1backed No | 31c | 68.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 25c | 64.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…fc16backed Yes | 55c | 54.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 57c | 46.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…21f7backed Yes | 50c | 43.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked No | 35c | 38.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f2…f771backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afa…99b0backed Yes | 61c | 32.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…d7f0backed No | 66c | 30.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 39c | 29.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 66c | 29.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…c0edbacked No | 48c | 27.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…f0c8backed Yes | 65c | 27.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Yes | 78c | 25.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…5092backed Yes | 60c | 24.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…d54ebacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…b168backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d58…327fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.