TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…4003backed No34c23,660$8,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,537.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Yes8c22,992$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.35728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick7cpaid+130.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec0…f663backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick15cpaid+320.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes36c16,921$6,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,032.174740.4%19 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+137.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51c6…4460backed Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d79…4754backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0d…09c2backed Yes41c5,724$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed No41c5,299$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387e…56a5backed No38c5,270$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.541428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed No42c5,216$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.81225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Yes68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes7c3,868$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.48100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes9c3,149$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.591540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked No50c3,026$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.641050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed Yes63c3,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0b6…a2cdbacked Yes11c2,820$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick15cpaid+109.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe86b…9371backed No34c2,687$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+194.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No45c2,570$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.86837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes59c2,400$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes67c2,399$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes23c2,357$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.941145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick19cpaid+167.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No34c2,146$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.854820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed No36c1,897$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.881127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65fb…9055backed No55c1,896$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes51c1,813$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0088…fe52backed Yes6c1,554$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+149%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa40…8b4fbacked Yes11c1,418$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+47.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No54c1,403$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dc1…36bbbacked Yes74c1,400$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb069…59ffbacked Yes74c1,353$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fd…aae9backed No75c1,342$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-77.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No25c1,327$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.221643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc7…302dbacked No55c1,323$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6473…19f7backed Yes8c1,261$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+143.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b5e…3a87backed Yes4c1,244$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+179.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Yes1c1,175$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf44a…2034backed Yes61c1,136$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb357…b99cbacked No33c1,015$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.02875%6 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+209.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes8c1,005$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.41238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8593…7314backed No50c1,000$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes9c985.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.782020%4 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74d…3f69backed Yes74c927.94$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…e067backed Yes12c807.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes9c766.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked No39c761.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8add…a9cbbacked Yes67c753.66$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…6dffbacked Yes72c752.39$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes13c747.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c7e…0a35backed Yes68c733.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x404b…a840backed Yes59c731.73$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes9c729.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.41931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe87…062abacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes45c706.37$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0acc…debabacked Yes12c701$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5650%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…c7edbacked Yes61c688.89$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes34c688.74$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x396f…7f78backed Yes64c655$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked No41c623.41$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.09785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+57.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47f3…e50abacked Yes7c590.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71db…0fa8backed No64c562.03$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x772d…f217backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes70c540$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3fb…b340backed No30c534.71$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Yes76c528.45$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc151…8df5backed Yes60c518.47$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdcd…14f6backed Yes3c513.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed No54c508.03$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.47450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed No32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.061513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes12c466$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed No23c454.27$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.86540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed No21c452.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+148.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No22c450.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.82137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-65.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked No36c428.46$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.521464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes8c415.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.34156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed Yes12c402$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+165.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1602…cbf7backed Yes3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0786…3582backed Yes29c399.1$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+132.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc168…5024backed No28c392.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…2ae0backed Yes10c379.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes8c365.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.25147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed Yes12c362$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa22c…5597backed Yes74c361.83$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No34c359.85$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d2…021bbacked Yes7c356.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eed…ed9dbacked No39c355.94$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes15c350.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes57c345.22$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes6c341.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+251.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes23c341.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.681618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-72.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x818d…c915backed Yes12c340.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40580%4 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick30cpaid+232.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes10c340$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+84.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5874…6b11backed No49c337$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.541361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+92.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked No55c335.35$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.37540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7b…0870backed Yes19c334.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+190.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f47…9387backed Yes38c334.28$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.41520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa3…7e2ebacked No30c334.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+169.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.